PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Sarpsborg 08 1–3 KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

KFUM Oslo won 1–3.

Shots
2210
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
2.60.95
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

KFUM Oslo beat Sarpsborg 08 3–1. Recorded in this match (Sarpsborg 08 – KFUM Oslo): shots 22–10, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 2.6–0.95, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KFUM Oslo's recent record differs from the season

weak

KFUM Oslo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KFUM Oslo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

KFUM Oslo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsSarpsborg 08 · KFUM Oslo10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSarpsborg 08KFUM OsloBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match14.5 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots10 shotsSarpsborg 08 22 shots, KFUM Oslo 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsSarpsborg 08 8 shots, KFUM Oslo 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.6 xG0.95 xGSarpsborg 08 2.6 xG, KFUM Oslo 0.95 xG
  • Possession57%43%Sarpsborg 08 57%, KFUM Oslo 43%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerSarpsborg 08 11 corners, KFUM Oslo 1 corner
  • Fouls7 fouls9 foulsSarpsborg 08 7 fouls, KFUM Oslo 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsSarpsborg 08 1 card, KFUM Oslo 2 cards
  • Passes541 passes429 passesSarpsborg 08 541 passes, KFUM Oslo 429 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.6%79.3%Sarpsborg 08 85.6%, KFUM Oslo 79.3%
  • Shots inside box16 shots6 shotsSarpsborg 08 16 shots, KFUM Oslo 6 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksSarpsborg 08 5 blocks, KFUM Oslo 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save6 savesSarpsborg 08 1 save, KFUM Oslo 6 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides0 offsidesSarpsborg 08 4 offsides, KFUM Oslo 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 24′Bjorn Martin KristensenGoal · KFUM Oslo
  2. 34′Bjorn UtvikYellow card · Sarpsborg 08
  3. 42′Bjorn Martin KristensenYellow card · KFUM Oslo
  4. 45′Daniel KarlsbakkPenalty goal · Sarpsborg 08
  5. 45′Hakon Helland HosethGoal · KFUM Oslo
  6. Half-time
  7. 47′Martin Tangen VinjorYellow card · KFUM Oslo
  8. 73′Julian Bakkeli GonstadGoal · KFUM Oslo
  9. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Sarpsborg 08 · 3 player changesNoa Williams · Eirik Wichne · Peter Reinhardsen
  • 57′KFUM Oslo · 2 player changesDavid Hickson Gyedu · Sander Hansen Sjøkvist
  • 68′Sarpsborg 08 · 1 player changeAndreas Hansen
  • 73′KFUM Oslo · 1 player changeJulian Bakkeli Gonstad
  • 74′KFUM Oslo · 1 player changeBrage Tobiassen
  • 75′Sarpsborg 08 · 1 player changeSigurd Rosted
  • 85′KFUM Oslo · 1 player changeAmin Nouri

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Sarpsborg 08
  1. Leander ØyG
  2. Marius LodeD
  3. Bjorn UtvikD
  4. Claus NiyukuriD
  5. Anders HiimD
  6. Aimar SherM
  7. Sander ChristiansenM
  8. Sondre SörliM
  9. Olaus SkarsemM
  10. Daniel KarlsbakkF
  11. Victor Emanuel HalvorsenF
KFUM Oslo
  1. Emil OdegaardG
  2. Fredrik Tobias BerglieD
  3. Brage SkaretD
  4. Hakon Helland HosethD
  5. Jonas Lange HjorthD
  6. Håkon RøstenD
  7. Martin Tangen VinjorM
  8. Eirik Franke SaunesM
  9. Bilal NjieF
  10. Ola VistedF
  11. Bjorn Martin KristensenF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Sarpsborg 08
0Draws
2KFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien1–0
Sarpsborg 08 — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien2–1
KFUM Oslo — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien1–3
KFUM Oslo — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien1–2
Sarpsborg 08 — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarpsborg 08 favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · KFUM Oslo in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarpsborg 0821 matchesKFUM Oslo21 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored21/211.19 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.67 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/211.1 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots21/2110.4 shots/match
4.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/213.95 shots/match
45.2% ●Possession21/2144.2%
5.19 corners/match ●Corners21/214.05 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 18 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSarpsborg 08KFUM Oslo
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headSarpsborg 08 — KFUM Oslo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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