Eliteserien · 2026Fri, 18 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Sarpsborg 08

WWDLL

vsPre-match analysis

KFUM Oslo

WDLLD

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: KFUM Oslo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.6 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KFUM Oslo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

KFUM Oslo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsSarpsborg 08 FF · KFUM Oslo10.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sarpsborg 08 FF	KFUM Oslo	Baseline
Shots	12.9 shots/match	10.6 shots/match	13.2 shots/match
Shots against	12.5 shots/match	12 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

3Sarpsborg 08

0Draws

2KFUM Oslo

26 Apr 2026KFUM Oslo — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien1–0

25 Oct 2025Sarpsborg 08 — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien2–1

21 Apr 2025KFUM Oslo — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien1–3

3 Nov 2024KFUM Oslo — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien1–2

21 Apr 2024Sarpsborg 08 — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarpsborg 08 favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · KFUM Oslo in 2 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarpsborg 0815 matchesKFUM Oslo14 matches

1.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/141 goal/match

1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/141.57 goals/match

1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/141.05 xG/match

12.9 shots/match ▲Shots15/1410.6 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on target15/143.93 shots/match

45.8% ●Possession15/1445.4%

5.13 corners/match ●Corners15/144.07 corners/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1412.2 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sarpsborg 0834.4

KFUM Oslo28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sarpsborg 0836.5

KFUM Oslo17.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sarpsborg 0852.1

KFUM Oslo51.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sarpsborg 0865.6

KFUM Oslo15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sarpsborg 089.4

KFUM Oslo70.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 53%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sarpsborg 0840.6

KFUM Oslo21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sarpsborg 0834.4

KFUM Oslo31.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches

33.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/134.1 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples15 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 18 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4