Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 17:15 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Fredrikstad FK

DWLLW

vsPre-match analysis

Sarpsborg 08

WWWDL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fredrikstad FK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Fredrikstad FK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Fredrikstad FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fredrikstad FK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.14 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fredrikstad FK have a visible home split

moderate

Fredrikstad FK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.5 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Fredrikstad FK

0Draws

1Sarpsborg 08

9 May 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF — Fredrikstad · Eliteserien2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Fredrikstad FK favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Sarpsborg 08 in 8 · 4 too close

1.14 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141.07 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.29 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/14▲1.43 xG/match

1.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.41 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲12.4 shots/match

13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲12.1 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲4 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲4.43 shots/match

48.6%●Possessionseason · 14/1445.1%

4.21 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/14●5.21 corners/match

5.36 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/145.36 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1410.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲21%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1471%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fredrikstad FK40.6

Sarpsborg 0821.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fredrikstad FK20.8

Sarpsborg 0833.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fredrikstad FK36.5

Sarpsborg 0864.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fredrikstad FK34.4

Sarpsborg 0859.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fredrikstad FK28.1

Sarpsborg 089.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fredrikstad FK21.9

Sarpsborg 0840.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fredrikstad FK19.5

Sarpsborg 0830.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Fredrikstad FK14 matchesSarpsborg 0814 matches

1.14 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.07 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1.29 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲1.43 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots14/14▲12.4 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲4 shots/match

48.6%●Possession14/1445.1%

4.21 corners/matchCorners14/14●5.21 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Fredrikstad FK6 matchesSarpsborg 088 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/81 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/81.63 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals6/8▲1.42 xG/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shots6/812.5 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/8▲4.13 shots/match

49%●Possession6/846.6%

5 corners/match●Corners6/84.5 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/810.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

36.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/136.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 17:15 UTC · analysis-v4