Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

HamKam

DDLLD

vsPre-match analysis

Molde FK

LWDLL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Molde FK's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: HamKam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Molde FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Molde FK's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.4 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

HamKam show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

HamKam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.86 shots/match▲ShotsHamKam · Molde FK13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	HamKam	Molde FK	Baseline
Shots	9.86 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	12.6 shots/match
Shots against	15.2 shots/match	12 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Molde FK have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.8%PossessionHamKam · Molde FK●58.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.9 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	HamKam	Molde FK	Baseline
Possession	45.8%	58.7%	49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0HamKam

0Draws

1Molde FK

12 Apr 2026Molde — Ham-Kam · Eliteserien4–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

HamKam favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Molde FK in 8 · 4 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/141.57 goals/match

1.86 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.36 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/14▲1.6 xG/match

1.52 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.2 xG/match

9.86 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲13.5 shots/match

15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲12 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲4.64 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲4.07 shots/match

45.8%Possessionseason · 14/14●58.7%

4.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/14●5.43 corners/match

5.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/14▲4.64 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 2/2—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1411.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1421%

93%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1486%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

HamKam28.1

Molde FK90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

HamKam33.3

Molde FK67.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

HamKam19.8

Molde FK67.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

HamKam3.1

Molde FK21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

HamKam65.6

Molde FK28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 57%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

HamKam28.1

Molde FK53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

HamKam32

Molde FK53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

HamKam14 matchesMolde FK14 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored14/141.57 goals/match

1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1.36 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲1.6 xG/match

9.86 shots/matchShots14/14▲13.5 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲4.64 shots/match

45.8%Possession14/14●58.7%

4.29 corners/matchCorners14/14●5.43 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

HamKam8 matchesMolde FK7 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored8/71 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/71.86 goals/match

1.34 xG/matchExpected goals8/7▲1.6 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShots8/7▲14.3 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target8/7▲5.14 shots/match

45.3%Possession8/7●60%

4 corners/matchCorners8/7●6.71 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls8/711 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

35 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/134.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4