HamKam 1–5 Molde FK · Eliteserien
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Molde FK won 1–5.
- Shots
- 15–16
- Shots on target
- 3–6
- Expected goals
- 1.56–2.69
- Possession
- 49%–51%
Full time
What the match recorded
Molde FK beat HamKam 5–1. Recorded in this match (HamKam – Molde FK): shots 15–16, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.56–2.69, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
HamKam's recent record differs from the season
moderateHamKam's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.8 goals/match | 1.35 goals/match | 1.49 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
HamKam show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateHamKam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | HamKam | Molde FK | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 10.1 shots/match | 14.7 shots/match | 13.7 shots/match |
| Shots against | 16.1 shots/match | 11.9 shots/match | 13.7 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateMolde FK have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.1 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | HamKam | Molde FK | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 46.9% | 59% | 49.7% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 5′Jalal AbdullaiGoal · Molde FK
- 6′Jalal AbdullaiYellow card · Molde FK
- Half-time
- 46′Mohamed OfkirGoal · HamKam
- 56′Trent Kone DohertyGoal · Molde FK
- 58′Trent Kone DohertyGoal · Molde FK
- 84′Trent Kone DohertyGoal · Molde FK
- 90′Kristian LonebuGoal · Molde FK
- Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
- 17′Molde FK · 1 player changeFredrik Kristensen Dahl
- 41′HamKam · 1 player changeAleksander Andresen
- 62′HamKam · 2 player changesHenrik Udahl · Anders Trondsen
- 62′Molde FK · 1 player changeMats Møller Dæhli
- 63′Molde FK · 2 player changesMartin Linnes · Kristian Lonebu
- 78′HamKam · 2 player changesBlerton Isufi · Danilo Al-Saed
- 89′Molde FK · 1 player changeNoah Ljøen Bye
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.
- Marcus SandbergG
- Martin GjoneD
- Ethan Amundsen-DayD
- Viðar Ari JónssonD
- Snorre Strand NilsenD
- Fredrik SjolstadD
- William Osnes-RingenM
- Markus JohnsgardM
- Luc MaresM
- Mohamed OfkirF
- David BenjaminF
- Albert PosiadałaG
- Sander Hestetun KilenD
- Sondre Milian GranaasD
- Samukelo KabiniD
- Birk RisaD
- Niklas OdegardM
- Emil BreivikM
- Daniel DagaM
- Mathias LøvikF
- Jalal AbdullaiF
- Trent Kone DohertyF
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: HamKam favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Molde FK in 12 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
HamKam / Molde FK
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Team rankings in Eliteserien
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.
HamKam
Tromsø IL
Aalesunds FK
KFUM Oslo
IK Start
SK Brann