PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026

Molde FK 1–2 Aalesunds FK · Eliteserien

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Aalesunds FK won 1–2.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.131.05
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aalesunds FK beat Molde FK 2–1. Recorded in this match (Molde FK – Aalesunds FK): shots 13–12, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.13–1.05, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Molde FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Molde FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match2.1 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Aalesunds FK have a visible away split

moderate

Aalesunds FK's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match15.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Molde FK have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.4% ●PossessionMolde FK · Aalesunds FK43.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMolde FKAalesunds FKBaseline
Possession59.4%43.8%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsMolde FK 13 shots, Aalesunds FK 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsMolde FK 7 shots, Aalesunds FK 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG1.05 xGMolde FK 1.13 xG, Aalesunds FK 1.05 xG
  • Possession68%32%Molde FK 68%, Aalesunds FK 32%
  • Corners10 corners6 cornersMolde FK 10 corners, Aalesunds FK 6 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls11 foulsMolde FK 20 fouls, Aalesunds FK 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsMolde FK 2 cards, Aalesunds FK 3 cards
  • Passes580 passes279 passesMolde FK 580 passes, Aalesunds FK 279 passes
  • Pass accuracy86%68.5%Molde FK 86%, Aalesunds FK 68.5%
  • Shots inside box10 shots8 shotsMolde FK 10 shots, Aalesunds FK 8 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksMolde FK 2 blocks, Aalesunds FK 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves6 savesMolde FK 3 saves, Aalesunds FK 6 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesMolde FK 3 offsides, Aalesunds FK 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 7′Mathias ChristensenGoal · Aalesunds FK
  2. 32′Marius AndresenYellow card · Aalesunds FK
  3. 44′Isak Gabriel SkotheimGoal · Aalesunds FK
  4. Half-time
  5. 47′Jalal AbdullaiYellow card · Molde FK
  6. 60′Luca PodlechYellow card · Aalesunds FK
  7. 70′Niklas OdegardYellow card · Molde FK
  8. 82′Kristian LonebuGoal · Molde FK
  9. 90′Mathias ChristensenYellow card · Aalesunds FK
  10. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Molde FK · 3 player changesCaleb Zady Sery · Mathias Løvik · Mats Møller Dæhli
  • 71′Molde FK · 1 player changeKristian Lonebu
  • 79′Aalesunds FK · 3 player changesSander Erik Kartum · Simen Haram · Elias Heggland Myrlid
  • 79′Molde FK · 1 player changeSander Hestetun Kilen
  • 86′Aalesunds FK · 1 player changeTobias Leikanger

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Molde FK
  1. Albert PosiadałaG
  2. Niklas OdegardD
  3. Martin LinnesD
  4. Samukelo KabiniD
  5. Fredrik Kristensen DahlD
  6. Emil BreivikM
  7. Sondre Milian GranaasM
  8. Daniel DagaM
  9. Jalal AbdullaiF
  10. Oskar Spiten-NysæterF
  11. Trent Kone DohertyF
Aalesunds FK
  1. Luca PodlechG
  2. Marius AndresenD
  3. Aleksander KjelsenD
  4. Isak Gabriel SkotheimD
  5. Mathias ChristensenD
  6. Cheick Mbacke DiopD
  7. Uba CharlesM
  8. Endre Hjertager OsenbrochM
  9. Elias Kristoffersen HagenM
  10. Kristoffer NessøF
  11. Marcus Haagensen ReedF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Molde FK
1Draws
1Aalesunds FK
Aalesunds FK — Molde FK · Eliteserien2–2
Aalesunds FK — Molde FK · Eliteserien3–1
Molde FK — Aalesunds FK · Eliteserien3–0
Molde FK — Aalesunds FK · Eliteserien3–0
Aalesunds FK — Molde FK · Eliteserien0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Molde FK favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Aalesunds FK in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Molde FK21 matchesAalesunds FK21 matches
2.1 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.57 goals/match
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/212.19 goals/match
1.78 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/211.39 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 15.5 shots/match
5.48 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/215.05 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession21/2143.8%
5.52 corners/match ●Corners21/215.05 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMolde FKAalesunds FK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headMolde FK — Aalesunds FK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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