Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bodø/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Sandefjord Fotball's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Bodø/Glimt have a visible home split

moderate

Bodø/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.1 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season16.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21.1 shots/match16.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sandefjord Fotball's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sandefjord Fotball's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bodø/Glimt show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bodø/Glimt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.9 shots/matchShotsBodø/Glimt · Sandefjord Fotball13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBodø/GlimtSandefjord FotballBaseline
Shots16.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against8.27 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Bodø/Glimt favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Sandefjord Fotball in 0 · 2 too close

2.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/131 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/131.31 goals/match
2.21 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 15/131.12 xG/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 15/131.43 xG/match
16.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1313.8 shots/match
8.27 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1313.5 shots/match
6.53 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/134.15 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/134.15 shots/match
65.1%Possessionseason · 15/1351.5%
7.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/136 corners/match
2.47 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/136.85 corners/match
Cardsseason · 1/0
8.87 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1313 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
53%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1331%
87%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1377%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bodø/Glimt96.9
Sandefjord Fotball65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bodø/Glimt94.8
Sandefjord Fotball45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bodø/Glimt94.8
Sandefjord Fotball61.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bodø/Glimt46.9
Sandefjord Fotball53.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bodø/Glimt3.1
Sandefjord Fotball96.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bodø/Glimt96.9
Sandefjord Fotball71.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bodø/Glimt73.5
Sandefjord Fotball71.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Bodø/Glimt15 matchesSandefjord Fotball13 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored15/131 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed15/131.31 goals/match
2.21 xG/matchExpected goals15/131.12 xG/match
16.9 shots/matchShots15/1313.8 shots/match
6.53 shots/matchShots on target15/134.15 shots/match
65.1%Possession15/1351.5%
7.33 corners/matchCorners15/136 corners/match
Cards1/0
8.87 fouls/matchFouls15/1313 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Bodø/Glimt7 matchesSandefjord Fotball7 matches
2.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/71 goals/match
0.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
2.83 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.06 xG/match
21.1 shots/matchShots7/713.1 shots/match
8.57 shots/matchShots on target7/73.43 shots/match
66%Possession7/749.9%
9.14 corners/matchCorners7/75.43 corners/match
Cards1/0
8.43 fouls/matchFouls7/711.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

36.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/156.9 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples15 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness57 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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