Eliteserien · 2026
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: lillestrøm SK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Lillestrøm SK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lillestrøm SK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Viking FK
0Draws
1Lillestrøm SK
Lillestrøm SKViking FK · Eliteserien12
Lillestrøm SKViking FK · Eliteserien14
Viking FKLillestrøm SK · Eliteserien14
Lillestrøm SKViking FK · Eliteserien13
Viking FKLillestrøm SK · Eliteserien20

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Viking FK favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Lillestrøm SK in 1 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Viking FK17 matchesLillestrøm SK17 matches
2.35 goals/match Goals scored17/171.35 goals/match
1 goal/match Goals allowed17/171.24 goals/match
1.89 xG/match Expected goals17/171.49 xG/match
14.4 shots/match Shots17/1712.2 shots/match
5.59 shots/match Shots on target17/173.94 shots/match
50.9%Possession17/17 52.8%
6.65 corners/match Corners17/175.18 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/32.33 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.2 fouls/match

Style profile

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Viking FK65.6
Lillestrøm SK78.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Viking FK84.4
Lillestrøm SK32.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Viking FK76.0
Lillestrøm SK76.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Viking FK65.6
Lillestrøm SK9.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Viking FK57.2
Lillestrøm SK31.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Viking FK81.2
Lillestrøm SK46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Viking FK75.8
Lillestrøm SK32.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
36.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/136 days

Viking FK / Lillestrøm SK

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidencelimited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

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