Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 17:15 UTCScheduledBrann StadionPre-match analysis

Brann

LLLWW

vsPre-match analysis

Rosenborg

LLDWW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Rosenborg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Rosenborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.15 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rosenborg have a visible away split

moderate

Rosenborg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.67 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Brann

1Draws

0Rosenborg

25 Apr 2026Rosenborg — Brann · Eliteserien1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Brann favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Rosenborg in 3 · 4 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/131.15 goals/match

1.57 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/13▲1.38 goals/match

1.64 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/131.24 xG/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/13▲1.4 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1311.4 shots/match

14.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1313.8 shots/match

4.57 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/133.69 shots/match

4.21 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/134.92 shots/match

57.9%Possessionseason · 14/1352.5%

6.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/135.54 corners/match

4.86 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/136 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1310.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/13▲31%

93%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1354%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brann84.4

Rosenborg78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brann69.8

Rosenborg28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brann43.8

Rosenborg42.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brann21.9

Rosenborg15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brann40.6

Rosenborg21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brann84.4

Rosenborg59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brann62.5

Rosenborg32

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.42 xG/match

9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.4 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

56.4%Possession5/557.2%

5 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.5 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.4 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.5 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.5 shots/match

56.8%Possession10/1053.6%

5.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 13 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored14/131.15 goals/match

1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed14/13▲1.38 goals/match

1.64 xG/match▲Expected goals14/131.24 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots14/1311.4 shots/match

4.57 shots/match▲Shots on target14/133.69 shots/match

57.9%Possession14/1352.5%

6.29 corners/matchCorners14/135.54 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1310.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.5 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match

1.76 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.97 xG/match

14.5 shots/match▲Shots6/69.67 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.33 shots/match

65.5%Possession6/649.5%

6.33 corners/matchCorners6/63.83 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

8.5 fouls/matchFouls6/611.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 17:15 UTC · analysis-v4