Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 12:30 UTCScheduledBrann StadionPre-match analysis

Brann

LLLWW

vsPre-match analysis

Valerenga

WLWLW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valerenga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Valerenga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valerenga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.46 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.46 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.29 corners/match▲CornersBrann · Valerenga7.15 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Brann	Valerenga	Baseline
Corners	6.29 corners/match	7.15 corners/match	5.04 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Valerenga show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Valerenga's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match▲ShotsBrann · Valerenga15.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Brann	Valerenga	Baseline
Shots	12.8 shots/match	15.8 shots/match	12.1 shots/match
Shots against	14.1 shots/match	14.7 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Brann favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Valerenga in 3 · 5 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/131.46 goals/match

1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/131.69 goals/match

1.64 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/131.43 xG/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/131.63 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/13▲15.8 shots/match

14.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1314.7 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/13▲5.23 shots/match

4.21 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/135.08 shots/match

57.9%Possessionseason · 14/1350.8%

6.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/137.15 corners/match

4.86 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/135.31 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1311 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/13▲15%

93%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1362%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brann84.4

Valerenga59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brann69.8

Valerenga73.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brann43.8

Valerenga21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brann21.9

Valerenga90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brann40.6

Valerenga28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brann84.4

Valerenga90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brann62.5

Valerenga71.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.84 xG/match

9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.6 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6 shots/match

56.4%Possession5/556.8%

5 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.6 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.61 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲16.8 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.5 shots/match

56.8%Possession10/1052.8%

5.4 corners/matchCorners10/107 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 13 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored14/131.46 goals/match

1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/131.69 goals/match

1.64 xG/match▲Expected goals14/131.43 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShots14/13▲15.8 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on target14/13▲5.23 shots/match

57.9%Possession14/1350.8%

6.29 corners/matchCorners14/137.15 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1311 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.67 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.17 goals/match

1.76 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.21 xG/match

14.5 shots/matchShots6/614.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target6/64.33 shots/match

65.5%Possession6/654.2%

6.33 corners/matchCorners6/65.5 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

8.5 fouls/matchFouls6/612 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.81 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 12:30 UTC · analysis-v4