Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTCScheduledKFUM ArenaPre-match analysis

KFUM Oslo

LWDLL

vsPre-match analysis

Molde

WLWDL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: KFUM Oslo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Molde have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

KFUM Oslo's recent record differs from the season

weak

KFUM Oslo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Molde have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.4%▲PossessionKFUM Oslo · Molde58%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	KFUM Oslo	Molde	Baseline
Possession	46.4%	58%	50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

KFUM Oslo favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Molde in 8 · 5 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲1.62 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.31 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲1.48 xG/match

1.46 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.24 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲12.2 shots/match

11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1312.2 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲4.23 shots/match

4.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲4.23 shots/match

46.4%Possessionseason · 13/1358%

4.15 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.92 corners/match

4.69 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/134.92 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/2—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1311.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1323%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲85%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

KFUM Oslo34.4

Molde90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

KFUM Oslo19.8

Molde61.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

KFUM Oslo53.1

Molde60.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

KFUM Oslo34.4

Molde3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

KFUM Oslo70.3

Molde34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 58%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

KFUM Oslo15.6

Molde40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

KFUM Oslo31.2

Molde46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

1 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.37 xG/match

9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲13 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match

40.6%Possession5/558.6%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/58.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.53 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.2 shots/match

3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.3 shots/match

42.4%Possession10/1056.4%

3.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/1—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/109.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.62 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1.31 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.48 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShots13/13▲12.2 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲4.23 shots/match

46.4%Possession13/1358%

4.15 corners/matchCorners13/134.92 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/2—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches

0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/6▲1 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/61.83 goals/match

1.03 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲1.33 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots7/6▲11.7 shots/match

3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲4.33 shots/match

45.9%Possession7/658.7%

5.14 corners/matchCorners7/65.83 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls7/611.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness8 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4