Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTCScheduledSarpsborg StadionPre-match analysis

Sarpsborg 08 FF

LWWWD

vsPre-match analysis

Ham-Kam

WDDLL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ham-Kam. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.08 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ham-Kam.

8.04 days▲Rest daysSarpsborg 08 FF · Ham-Kam3.92 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Sarpsborg 08 FF	Ham-Kam	Baseline
Rest days	8.04 days	3.92 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Ham-Kam show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ham-Kam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsSarpsborg 08 FF · Ham-Kam9.62 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sarpsborg 08 FF	Ham-Kam	Baseline
Shots	11.4 shots/match	9.62 shots/match	12.1 shots/match
Shots against	11.8 shots/match	15.6 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sarpsborg 08 FF favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Ham-Kam in 2 · 4 too close

1.08 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲1.54 goals/match

1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.92 goals/match

1.34 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/131.2 xG/match

1.3 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.59 xG/match

11.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/139.62 shots/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1315.6 shots/match

4.08 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/133.85 shots/match

4.15 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/135.08 shots/match

44.8%Possessionseason · 13/1344.8%

5 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134 corners/match

4.92 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/135.69 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/2—

10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1312.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1323%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sarpsborg 08 FF25

Ham-Kam25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sarpsborg 08 FF31.2

Ham-Kam30.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sarpsborg 08 FF74

Ham-Kam15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sarpsborg 08 FF46.9

Ham-Kam9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sarpsborg 08 FF9.4

Ham-Kam71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sarpsborg 08 FF46.9

Ham-Kam9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sarpsborg 08 FF30.5

Ham-Kam28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.16 xG/match

12 shots/match▲Shots5/58.8 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

39.2%Possession5/543.4%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

1.26 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.18 xG/match

11 shots/match▲Shots10/109.1 shots/match

3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/103.8 shots/match

44.5%Possession10/1045.7%

4.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

1.08 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.54 goals/match

1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.92 goals/match

1.34 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.2 xG/match

11.4 shots/match▲Shots13/139.62 shots/match

4.08 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.85 shots/match

44.8%Possession13/1344.8%

5 corners/matchCorners13/134 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.17 goals/match

0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.33 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.07 xG/match

12.2 shots/match▲Shots6/68.83 shots/match

3.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63 shots/match

43.2%Possession6/646.5%

6.17 corners/matchCorners6/64.67 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/612.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.92 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness8 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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What the record shows

Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent record differs from the season

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Ham-Kam show a distinct attacking-volume record

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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