Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTCScheduledKFUM ArenaPre-match analysis

KFUM Oslo

LWDLL

vsPre-match analysis

Kristiansund BK

WLLLD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: KFUM Oslo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

KFUM Oslo's recent record differs from the season

weak

KFUM Oslo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

KFUM Oslo favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Kristiansund BK in 1 · 5 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/130.85 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/131.62 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/131.05 xG/match

1.46 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.57 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲11.9 shots/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1313.3 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/133.62 shots/match

4.69 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/135.31 shots/match

46.4%Possessionseason · 13/1341.5%

4.15 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.31 corners/match

4.69 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/136.85 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/1—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1311.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1315%

69%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1354%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

KFUM Oslo34.4

Kristiansund BK9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

KFUM Oslo19.8

Kristiansund BK19.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

KFUM Oslo53.1

Kristiansund BK33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

KFUM Oslo34.4

Kristiansund BK78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

KFUM Oslo70.3

Kristiansund BK59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

KFUM Oslo15.6

Kristiansund BK28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

KFUM Oslo31.2

Kristiansund BK35.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.84 xG/match

9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.8 shots/match

3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

40.6%Possession5/541.8%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.07 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.01 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.4 shots/match

3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/103.7 shots/match

42.4%Possession10/1043.7%

3.6 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/1—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored13/130.85 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.62 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.05 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShots13/13▲11.9 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.62 shots/match

46.4%Possession13/1341.5%

4.15 corners/matchCorners13/134.31 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/1—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

0.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.57 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match

1.03 xG/match▲Expected goals7/70.91 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots7/7▲11.1 shots/match

3.57 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.29 shots/match

45.9%Possession7/739.1%

5.14 corners/matchCorners7/74.86 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls7/713 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4