Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Lillestrom

LLWWL

vsPre-match analysis

Rosenborg

LLDWW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Rosenborg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Rosenborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.15 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rosenborg have a visible away split

moderate

Rosenborg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.67 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Lillestrom

0Draws

1Rosenborg

10 May 2026Rosenborg — Lillestrom · Eliteserien2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lillestrom favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Rosenborg in 0 · 3 too close

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/131.15 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/131.38 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/131.24 xG/match

1.08 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 14/131.4 xG/match

12 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1311.4 shots/match

12.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1313.8 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/133.69 shots/match

4.21 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/134.92 shots/match

52.4%Possessionseason · 14/1352.5%

5.07 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/135.54 corners/match

5.14 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/136 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1310.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1331%

71%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1354%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lillestrom71.9

Rosenborg78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lillestrom53.1

Rosenborg28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lillestrom68.8

Rosenborg42.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lillestrom28.1

Rosenborg15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom15.6

Rosenborg21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom53.1

Rosenborg59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lillestrom40.6

Rosenborg32

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.42 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots5/511.4 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

54.6%Possession5/557.2%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.2 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.4 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.5 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.5 shots/match

53.4%Possession10/1053.6%

5.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 13 matches

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored14/131.15 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/131.38 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals14/131.24 xG/match

12 shots/match▲Shots14/1311.4 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target14/133.69 shots/match

52.4%Possession14/1352.5%

5.07 corners/matchCorners14/135.54 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1310.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored7/60.5 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/61.5 goals/match

1.4 xG/match▲Expected goals7/60.97 xG/match

10.4 shots/match▲Shots7/69.67 shots/match

3.43 shots/matchShots on target7/63.33 shots/match

55.1%Possession7/649.5%

4.71 corners/matchCorners7/63.83 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls7/611.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness21 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4