Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeLyse ArenaFull-time recap

Viking

WWLWW

2–1Full-time recap

Sarpsborg 08 FF

LWWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Viking	Sarpsborg 08 FF
Shots	17 shots/match	25 shots/match▲
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.83 xG/match▲	2.57 xG/match
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	11 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Viking: 18 shots, 8 on target, 3.17 xG. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 26 shots, 3 on target, 2.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Viking 3.17 xG · Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.42 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Viking's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Viking's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Viking's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.5 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	2.5 goals/match	1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Viking

0Draws

1Sarpsborg 08 FF

12 Jul 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF — Viking · Eliteserien1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Viking favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Sarpsborg 08 FF in 0 · 5 too close

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141.07 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/141.29 goals/match

1.93 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/141.43 xG/match

1.05 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 14/141.41 xG/match

14.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1412.4 shots/match

11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1412.1 shots/match

5.71 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/144 shots/match

2.86 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/144.43 shots/match

50.6%Possessionseason · 14/1445.1%

6.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/145.21 corners/match

5.21 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/145.36 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/1—

12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1410.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1421%

93%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1471%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Viking59.4

Sarpsborg 08 FF28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Viking90.6

Sarpsborg 08 FF39.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Viking86.5

Sarpsborg 08 FF65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Viking84.4

Sarpsborg 08 FF59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Viking57.8

Sarpsborg 08 FF9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Viking84.4

Sarpsborg 08 FF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Viking87.5

Sarpsborg 08 FF38.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.54 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.39 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShots5/513.6 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match

49.6%Possession5/540%

6.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.35 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1012 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.3 shots/match

53.6%Possession10/1046.7%

7 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.07 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.29 goals/match

1.93 xG/match▲Expected goals14/141.43 xG/match

14.7 shots/match▲Shots14/1412.4 shots/match

5.71 shots/match▲Shots on target14/144 shots/match

50.6%Possession14/1445.1%

6.57 corners/matchCorners14/145.21 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards3/1—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches

3.57 goals/match▲Goals scored7/81 goals/match

1.14 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/81.63 goals/match

2.19 xG/match▲Expected goals7/81.42 xG/match

15.9 shots/match▲Shots7/812.5 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target7/84.13 shots/match

46%Possession7/846.6%

6.71 corners/matchCorners7/84.5 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

13.6 fouls/matchFouls7/810.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

16.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4