Eliteserien · 2026Fri, 14 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Rosenborg BK

LDWWW

vsPre-match analysis

Viking FK

WLWWW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rosenborg BK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Rosenborg BK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg BK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.21 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Rosenborg BK

0Draws

1Viking FK

1 May 2026Viking — Rosenborg · Eliteserien3–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Rosenborg BK favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Viking FK in 10 · 3 too close

1.21 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲2.5 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲1 goals/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/14▲1.93 xG/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.05 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲14.7 shots/match

14.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲11.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲5.71 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲2.86 shots/match

51.9%Possessionseason · 14/1450.6%

5.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/146.57 corners/match

6.14 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/14▲5.21 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/32.33 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1412.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1429%

57%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/14▲93%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rosenborg BK71.9

Viking FK59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rosenborg BK31.2

Viking FK90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rosenborg BK44.8

Viking FK87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rosenborg BK15.6

Viking FK84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg BK59.4

Viking FK57.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg BK59.4

Viking FK84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rosenborg BK43

Viking FK87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match

1.71 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.54 xG/match

12.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.6 shots/match

5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.2 shots/match

53.2%Possession5/549.6%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.4 goals/match

1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match

1.49 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.8 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.3 shots/match

4.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.5 shots/match

52.4%Possession10/1053.6%

5.1 corners/matchCorners10/107 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches

1.21 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲2.5 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1 goals/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲1.93 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots14/14▲14.7 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲5.71 shots/match

51.9%Possession14/1450.6%

5.57 corners/matchCorners14/146.57 corners/match

—Cards0/32.33 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

1.71 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.43 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.86 goals/match

1.47 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.67 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShots7/7▲13.6 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲4.43 shots/match

55%Possession7/755.1%

7 corners/matchCorners7/76.43 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls7/711.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.12 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness6 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4