Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

KFUM Oslo

LWDLL

vsPre-match analysis

Lillestrøm SK

LWWLL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lillestrøm SK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Lillestrøm SK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lillestrøm SK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.47 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0KFUM Oslo

0Draws

1Lillestrøm SK

18 Jul 2026Lillestrom — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

KFUM Oslo favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Lillestrøm SK in 6 · 6 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/15▲1.47 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/15▲1.07 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/15▲1.47 xG/match

1.46 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/15▲1.17 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/15▲12.4 shots/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1512.5 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/154.13 shots/match

4.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/154.47 shots/match

46.4%Possessionseason · 13/1552.5%

4.15 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/155.27 corners/match

4.69 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/155.2 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/1—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1510.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/15▲33%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1567%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

KFUM Oslo34.4

Lillestrøm SK78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

KFUM Oslo19.8

Lillestrøm SK51.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

KFUM Oslo55.2

Lillestrøm SK63.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

KFUM Oslo28.1

Lillestrøm SK40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

KFUM Oslo73.5

Lillestrøm SK15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 53%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

KFUM Oslo15.6

Lillestrøm SK46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

KFUM Oslo32

Lillestrøm SK39.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

1 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.49 xG/match

9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.2 shots/match

3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match

40.6%Possession5/552.2%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.33 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.5 shots/match

3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.4 shots/match

42.4%Possession10/1052.9%

3.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/1—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 15 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored13/15▲1.47 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed13/15▲1.07 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals13/15▲1.47 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShots13/15▲12.4 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target13/154.13 shots/match

46.4%Possession13/1552.5%

4.15 corners/matchCorners13/155.27 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/1—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1510.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.14 goals/match

0.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.71 goals/match

1.03 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.42 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots7/7▲13.6 shots/match

3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲4.86 shots/match

45.9%Possession7/749.6%

5.14 corners/matchCorners7/75.43 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls7/710.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

28 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.06 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples13 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4