Eliteserien · 2026

KFUM Oslo 1–1 Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

KFUM Oslo and Lillestrøm SK drew 1–1.

Shots
915
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.922.8
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

KFUM Oslo and Lillestrøm SK drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (KFUM Oslo – Lillestrøm SK): shots 9–15, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.92–2.8, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lillestrøm SK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lillestrøm SK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KFUM Oslo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

KFUM Oslo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsKFUM Oslo · Lillestrøm SK12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKFUM OsloLillestrøm SKBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shotsKFUM Oslo 9 shots, Lillestrøm SK 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsKFUM Oslo 3 shots, Lillestrøm SK 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG2.8 xGKFUM Oslo 0.92 xG, Lillestrøm SK 2.8 xG
  • Possession33%67%KFUM Oslo 33%, Lillestrøm SK 67%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersKFUM Oslo 3 corners, Lillestrøm SK 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsKFUM Oslo 12 fouls, Lillestrøm SK 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsKFUM Oslo 1 card, Lillestrøm SK 3 cards
  • Passes330 passes671 passesKFUM Oslo 330 passes, Lillestrøm SK 671 passes
  • Pass accuracy73%85.3%KFUM Oslo 73%, Lillestrøm SK 85.3%
  • Shots inside box7 shots9 shotsKFUM Oslo 7 shots, Lillestrøm SK 9 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks5 blocksKFUM Oslo 4 blocks, Lillestrøm SK 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesKFUM Oslo 3 saves, Lillestrøm SK 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesKFUM Oslo 0 offsides, Lillestrøm SK 3 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rasmus Eggen Vinge · KFUM Oslo · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLars Ranger · Lillestrøm SK · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFrederik Elkær · Lillestrøm SK · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYlldren Ibrahimaj · Lillestrøm SK · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Gulbrandsen · Lillestrøm SK · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBrage Skaret · KFUM Oslo · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrederik Elkær · Lillestrøm SK · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBjorn Martin Kristensen · KFUM Oslo · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJacob Blixt Flaten · KFUM Oslo · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBjorn Martin Kristensen · KFUM Oslo · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYlldren Ibrahimaj · Lillestrøm SK · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLars Ranger · Lillestrøm SK · 48′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYlldren Ibrahimaj · Lillestrøm SK · 31′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFrederik Elkær · Lillestrøm SK · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDavid Hickson Gyedu · KFUM Oslo · 65′ · 0.13 xG · on targetGustav Kjolstad Nyheim · Lillestrøm SK · 4′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Eggen Vinge · KFUM Oslo · 72′ · 0.17 xG · on targetBjorn Martin Kristensen · KFUM Oslo · 83′ · 0.17 xG · goalJonas Lange Hjorth · KFUM Oslo · 89′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedGustav Kjolstad Nyheim · Lillestrøm SK · 37′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Gulbrandsen · Lillestrøm SK · 63′ · 0.23 xG · on targetLars Ranger · Lillestrøm SK · 37′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedFelix Vá · Lillestrøm SK · 48′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KFUM Oslo: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.89 xG. Lillestrøm SK: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.99 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Bjorn Martin Kristensen · KFUM Oslo · 83′Felix Vá · Lillestrøm SK · 48′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KFUM Oslo 0.89 xG · Lillestrøm SK 1.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1KFUM Oslo
0Draws
2Lillestrøm SK
Lillestrøm SK — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien2–1
KFUM Oslo — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien2–0
Lillestrøm SK — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KFUM Oslo favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Lillestrøm SK in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KFUM Oslo17 matchesLillestrøm SK17 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.49 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 12.2 shots/match
4.24 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.94 shots/match
44.8%Possession17/17● 52.8%
4.06 corners/matchCorners17/17● 5.18 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards6/32.33 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

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