Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 12:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Aalesunds FK

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vsPre-match analysis

Vålerenga IF

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30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Vålerenga IF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Vålerenga IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Vålerenga IF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vålerenga IF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.43 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vålerenga IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vålerenga IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match▲ShotsAalesunds FK · Vålerenga IF15.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Aalesunds FK	Vålerenga IF	Baseline
Shots	14 shots/match	15.8 shots/match	12.6 shots/match
Shots against	15.9 shots/match	14.6 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Aalesunds FK

0Draws

1Vålerenga IF

16 Jul 2026Valerenga — Aalesund · Eliteserien6–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Aalesunds FK favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Vålerenga IF in 10 · 3 too close

1.36 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲1.43 goals/match

2.07 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.71 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/14▲1.42 xG/match

1.95 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/14▲1.65 xG/match

14 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲15.8 shots/match

15.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/14▲14.6 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/14▲5.07 shots/match

6.29 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲5 shots/match

43.7%Possessionseason · 14/1449.9%

4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/147.21 corners/match

7.36 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/14▲5.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/1—

12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1411.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲14%

86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1464%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Aalesunds FK15.6

Vålerenga IF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Aalesunds FK62.5

Vålerenga IF73.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Aalesunds FK5.2

Vålerenga IF18.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Aalesunds FK96.9

Vålerenga IF90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Aalesunds FK84.4

Vålerenga IF28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Aalesunds FK34.4

Vålerenga IF90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Aalesunds FK64.8

Vålerenga IF71.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲2 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.7 xG/match

13.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.6 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

44.2%Possession5/553.8%

6 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.2 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.57 xG/match

14.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲16.6 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.3 shots/match

42.8%Possession10/1051.8%

4.7 corners/matchCorners10/107.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches

1.36 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.43 goals/match

2.07 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1.71 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲1.42 xG/match

14 shots/matchShots14/14▲15.8 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲5.07 shots/match

43.7%Possession14/1449.9%

4.5 corners/matchCorners14/147.21 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches

1.71 goals/match▲Goals scored7/60.67 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/62.17 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals7/61.21 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots7/614.5 shots/match

5.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/64.33 shots/match

46.9%Possession7/654.2%

5.43 corners/matchCorners7/65.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.4 fouls/matchFouls7/612 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.02 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness8 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 12:30 UTC · analysis-v4