Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

SK Brann

LLLWW

vsPre-match analysis

HamKam

DDLLD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SK Brann's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: SK Brann have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

SK Brann's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SK Brann's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	2 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

SK Brann have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.9%▲PossessionSK Brann · HamKam45.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.1 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	SK Brann	HamKam	Baseline
Possession	57.9%	45.8%	49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1SK Brann

0Draws

0HamKam

6 Apr 2026Ham-Kam — Brann · Eliteserien1–5

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

SK Brann favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · HamKam in 1 · 5 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141.5 goals/match

1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/141.86 goals/match

1.64 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/141.23 xG/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/141.52 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/149.86 shots/match

14.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1415.2 shots/match

4.57 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/144 shots/match

4.21 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/144.86 shots/match

57.9%Possessionseason · 14/1445.8%

6.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/144.29 corners/match

4.86 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/145.57 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/2—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1412.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲21%

93%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1493%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SK Brann84.4

HamKam28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SK Brann66.7

HamKam33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SK Brann46.9

HamKam19.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SK Brann9.4

HamKam3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SK Brann40.6

HamKam65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SK Brann78.1

HamKam28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SK Brann58.6

HamKam32

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.28 xG/match

9.8 shots/matchShots5/59.6 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match

56.4%Possession5/547.2%

5 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.07 xG/match

11.2 shots/match▲Shots10/109.1 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match

56.8%Possession10/1046.4%

5.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.5 goals/match

1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.86 goals/match

1.64 xG/match▲Expected goals14/141.23 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots14/149.86 shots/match

4.57 shots/match▲Shots on target14/144 shots/match

57.9%Possession14/1445.8%

6.29 corners/matchCorners14/144.29 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.33 goals/match

1.76 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.07 xG/match

14.5 shots/match▲Shots6/68.83 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63 shots/match

65.5%Possession6/646.5%

6.33 corners/matchCorners6/64.67 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

8.5 fouls/matchFouls6/612.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4