Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Sarpsborg 08

WWWDL

vsPre-match analysis

Sandefjord Fotball

LDLDL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sandefjord Fotball's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Sandefjord Fotball's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sandefjord Fotball's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Sarpsborg 08

0Draws

0Sandefjord Fotball

22 Mar 2026Sandefjord — Sarpsborg 08 FF · Eliteserien0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sarpsborg 08 favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Sandefjord Fotball in 4 · 6 too close

1.07 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/131 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/131.31 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/131.12 xG/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/131.43 xG/match

12.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/13▲13.8 shots/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1313.5 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/134.15 shots/match

4.43 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/13▲4.15 shots/match

45.1%Possessionseason · 14/1351.5%

5.21 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/136 corners/match

5.36 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/136.85 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1313 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/13▲31%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/13▲77%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sarpsborg 0821.9

Sandefjord Fotball65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sarpsborg 0833.3

Sandefjord Fotball45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sarpsborg 0864.6

Sandefjord Fotball61.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sarpsborg 0859.4

Sandefjord Fotball53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sarpsborg 089.4

Sandefjord Fotball96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sarpsborg 0840.6

Sandefjord Fotball71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sarpsborg 0830.4

Sandefjord Fotball71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.81 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match

3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

40%Possession5/547.8%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.1 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.3 shots/match

3.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.8 shots/match

46.7%Possession10/1050.2%

5.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.7 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1013 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 13 matches

1.07 goals/match▲Goals scored14/131 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed14/131.31 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals14/131.12 xG/match

12.4 shots/matchShots14/13▲13.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target14/134.15 shots/match

45.1%Possession14/1351.5%

5.21 corners/matchCorners14/136 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1313 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches

1.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/71 goals/match

0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/71.71 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals6/71.06 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShots6/7▲13.1 shots/match

3.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/73.43 shots/match

43.2%Possession6/749.9%

6.17 corners/matchCorners6/75.43 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/711.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/128.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4