Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTCScheduledColor Line StadionPre-match analysis

Aalesund

WDDDL

vsPre-match analysis

Tromso

LDDWW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tromso's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Tromso's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Tromso show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tromso's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsAalesund · Tromso13.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Aalesund	Tromso	Baseline
Shots	14.3 shots/match	13.9 shots/match	12.1 shots/match
Shots against	16.2 shots/match	10.3 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Tromso have a visible away split

moderate

Tromso's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.5 shots/match	13.9 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Aalesund's recent record differs from the season

weak

Aalesund's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.38 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Aalesund

1Draws

0Tromso

25 May 2026Tromso — Aalesund · Eliteserien1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Aalesund favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Tromso in 9 · 4 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/15▲1.73 goals/match

2.15 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/15▲1 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/15▲1.68 xG/match

1.98 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/15▲1.07 xG/match

14.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1513.9 shots/match

16.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/15▲10.3 shots/match

4.77 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/15▲5.4 shots/match

6.31 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/15▲3.13 shots/match

43.9%Possessionseason · 13/1549.9%

4.54 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/155.6 corners/match

7.31 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/15▲4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/1—

12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1511.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/15▲53%

85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1573%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Aalesund15.6

Tromso46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Aalesund65.6

Tromso78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Aalesund5.2

Tromso86.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Aalesund96.9

Tromso65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Aalesund78.1

Tromso46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Aalesund34.4

Tromso65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Aalesund65.6

Tromso67.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.35 xG/match

16.4 shots/match▲Shots5/513.2 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match

44.4%Possession5/551%

6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.3 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.31 xG/match

14.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.3 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.9 shots/match

44%Possession10/1049.1%

5.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 15 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored13/15▲1.73 goals/match

2.15 goals/matchGoals allowed13/15▲1 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals13/15▲1.68 xG/match

14.3 shots/matchShots13/1513.9 shots/match

4.77 shots/matchShots on target13/15▲5.4 shots/match

43.9%Possession13/1549.9%

4.54 corners/matchCorners13/155.6 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1511.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches

1.71 goals/match▲Goals scored7/61.33 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲1.33 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals7/61.15 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots7/611.5 shots/match

5.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/64.5 shots/match

46.9%Possession7/648.2%

5.43 corners/matchCorners7/64.17 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

14.4 fouls/matchFouls7/611.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

16.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness17 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4