Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 18:00 UTCFull timeLyse ArenaFull-time recap

Viking

WWWWL

2–1Full-time recap

Sandefjord

WLDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Viking	Sandefjord
Shots	18 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.16 xG/match▲	0.38 xG/match
Possession	45%	55%
Corners	6 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	22 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sandefjord's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sandefjord's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sandefjord's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/match▲CornersViking · Sandefjord6 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Viking	Sandefjord	Baseline
Corners	6 corners/match	6 corners/match	5.12 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Viking favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Sandefjord in 0 · 3 too close

2.58 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/131 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/131.31 goals/match

1.94 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/131.12 xG/match

0.9 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/131.43 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1313.8 shots/match

10.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1313.5 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/134.15 shots/match

3 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/134.15 shots/match

50.9%Possessionseason · 12/1351.5%

6 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/136 corners/match

5.17 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/136.85 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1313 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1331%

92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1377%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Viking59.4

Sandefjord65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Viking90.6

Sandefjord42.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Viking87.5

Sandefjord59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Viking84.4

Sandefjord59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Viking50

Sandefjord96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Viking75

Sandefjord75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Viking81.2

Sandefjord71.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.81 xG/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

55.4%Possession5/547.8%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match

1.94 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.3 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match

51.7%Possession10/1050.2%

5.8 corners/matchCorners10/105.7 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1013 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 13 matches

2.58 goals/match▲Goals scored12/131 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/131.31 goals/match

1.94 xG/match▲Expected goals12/131.12 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots12/1313.8 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target12/134.15 shots/match

50.9%Possession12/1351.5%

6 corners/matchCorners12/136 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards3/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1313 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches

3.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/71 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/71.71 goals/match

2.08 xG/match▲Expected goals6/71.06 xG/match

15.7 shots/match▲Shots6/713.1 shots/match

6.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/73.43 shots/match

45.3%Possession6/749.9%

6 corners/matchCorners6/75.43 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFouls6/711.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.03 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.12 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4