Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeKristiansund StadionFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKristiansund BKSarpsborg 08 FF
Shots11 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals0.71 xG/match0.97 xG/match
Possession44%56%
Corners4 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match17 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Kristiansund BK favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Sarpsborg 08 FF in 10 · 4 too close

0.85 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/131.08 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/131.23 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/131.34 xG/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/131.3 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1311.4 shots/match
13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1311.8 shots/match
3.62 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/134.08 shots/match
5.31 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/134.15 shots/match
41.5%Possessionseason · 13/1344.8%
4.31 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/135 corners/match
6.85 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/134.92 corners/match
Cardsseason · 1/1
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1310.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1323%
54%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1369%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Kristiansund BK9.4
Sarpsborg 08 FF21.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Kristiansund BK19.8
Sarpsborg 08 FF29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Kristiansund BK31.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Kristiansund BK78.1
Sarpsborg 08 FF46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Kristiansund BK65.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF15.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Kristiansund BK28.1
Sarpsborg 08 FF46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Kristiansund BK37.5
Sarpsborg 08 FF30.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.2 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/512 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
41.8%Possession5/539.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
Cards1/0
14 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/101 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.26 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots10/1011 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/103.7 shots/match
43.7%Possession10/1044.5%
5 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match
Cards1/1
12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
0.85 goals/matchGoals scored13/131.08 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.23 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.34 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots13/1311.4 shots/match
3.62 shots/matchShots on target13/134.08 shots/match
41.5%Possession13/1344.8%
4.31 corners/matchCorners13/135 corners/match
Cards1/1
11.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/71 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/71.57 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals6/71.26 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots6/710.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/74.29 shots/match
44.2%Possession6/746.1%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/74 corners/match
Cards0/1
10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/710.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.86 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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