Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 17:15 UTCFull timeSarpsborg StadionFull-time recap

Sarpsborg 08 FF

LWLWW

1–0Full-time recap

Viking

WWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sarpsborg 08 FF	Viking
Shots	18 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.31 xG/match▲	0.86 xG/match
Possession	40%	60%
Corners	3 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.17 goals/match	1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sarpsborg 08 FF favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Viking in 10 · 4 too close

1.17 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/11▲2.64 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/11▲1 goals/match

1.37 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/11▲1.92 xG/match

1.35 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/11▲0.94 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/11▲14.5 shots/match

11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/11▲10.9 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/11▲5.45 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/11▲3.09 shots/match

43.8%Possessionseason · 12/1151.5%

4.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/116 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/115.18 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/32.33 cards/match

9.75 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1111.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/11▲36%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/11▲91%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sarpsborg 08 FF21.9

Viking65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sarpsborg 08 FF32.3

Viking90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sarpsborg 08 FF67.7

Viking87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sarpsborg 08 FF53.1

Viking71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sarpsborg 08 FF9.4

Viking42.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sarpsborg 08 FF40.6

Viking71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sarpsborg 08 FF26.6

Viking76.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.6 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.57 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots5/512.4 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match

40%Possession5/556%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.8 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.9 goals/match

1.28 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.94 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.2 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.6 shots/match

43.2%Possession10/1050.5%

4.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match

—Cards1/32.33 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 11 matches

1.17 goals/matchGoals scored12/11▲2.64 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/11▲1 goals/match

1.37 xG/matchExpected goals12/11▲1.92 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots12/11▲14.5 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target12/11▲5.45 shots/match

43.8%Possession12/1151.5%

4.75 corners/matchCorners12/116 corners/match

—Cards1/32.33 cards/match

9.75 fouls/matchFouls12/1111.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.33 goals/match

0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/60.83 goals/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.8 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShots6/6▲14 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4.17 shots/match

43.2%Possession6/656.5%

6.17 corners/matchCorners6/66 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/610.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

44 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/149.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4