PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08 1–0 Viking FK · Eliteserien

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sarpsborg 08 won 1–0.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.310.86
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sarpsborg 08 FF beat Viking 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sarpsborg 08 FF – Viking): shots 18–12, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.31–0.86, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsSarpsborg 08 18 shots, Viking FK 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsSarpsborg 08 6 shots, Viking FK 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG0.86 xGSarpsborg 08 1.31 xG, Viking FK 0.86 xG
  • Possession40%60%Sarpsborg 08 40%, Viking FK 60%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersSarpsborg 08 3 corners, Viking FK 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls9 foulsSarpsborg 08 6 fouls, Viking FK 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sarpsborg 08
2Draws
3Viking FK
Sarpsborg 08 — Viking FK · Eliteserien3–3
Viking FK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien0–0
Sarpsborg 08 — Viking FK · Eliteserien1–2
Viking FK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien1–0
Viking FK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarpsborg 08 favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Viking FK in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarpsborg 0812 matchesViking FK11 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored12/11▲ 2.64 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/11▲ 1 goal/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals12/11▲ 1.92 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots12/11▲ 14.5 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target12/11▲ 5.45 shots/match
43.8%Possession12/11● 51.5%
4.75 corners/matchCorners12/11● 6 corners/match
9.75 fouls/matchFouls12/1111.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSarpsborg 08Viking FK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headSarpsborg 08 — Viking FK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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