Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeLerkendal StadionFull-time recap

Rosenborg

LWLLD

3–0Full-time recap

Kristiansund BK

LLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Rosenborg	Kristiansund BK
Shots	17 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.27 xG/match▲	0.63 xG/match
Possession	69%	31%
Corners	8 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	22 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Rosenborg have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Rosenborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Rosenborg have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.3%▲PossessionRosenborg · Kristiansund BK41.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Rosenborg	Kristiansund BK	Baseline
Possession	52.3%	41.3%	50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Rosenborg favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Kristiansund BK in 2 · 5 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/120.92 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.75 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/121.08 xG/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/121.62 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/1212 shots/match

13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1213.6 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲3.75 shots/match

5.08 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/125.58 shots/match

52.3%Possessionseason · 12/1241.3%

5.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/124.33 corners/match

6.08 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 12/126.75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/1—

10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1211.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/128%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/12▲58%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rosenborg78.1

Kristiansund BK9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rosenborg15.6

Kristiansund BK21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rosenborg35.4

Kristiansund BK25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rosenborg9.4

Kristiansund BK84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg21.9

Kristiansund BK65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg65.6

Kristiansund BK18.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rosenborg29.7

Kristiansund BK36.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.89 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

56.4%Possession5/540.2%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

1.27 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.02 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots10/1012 shots/match

3.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match

52.8%Possession10/1043.1%

4.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored12/120.92 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.75 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals12/121.08 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots12/1212 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲3.75 shots/match

52.3%Possession12/1241.3%

5.75 corners/matchCorners12/124.33 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

1.71 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.57 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goals7/70.91 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots7/711.1 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.29 shots/match

55%Possession7/739.1%

7 corners/matchCorners7/74.86 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls7/713 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

43.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/143.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4