PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Brann Stadion

SK Brann 2–1 IK Start · Eliteserien

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

SK Brann won 2–1.

Shots
1517
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.831.29
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brann beat Start 2–1. Recorded in this match (Brann – Start): shots 15–17, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.83–1.29, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Start's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Start's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Brann have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.2% ●PossessionBrann · Start39.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBrannStartBaseline
Possession58.2%39.8%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots17 shotsSK Brann 15 shots, IK Start 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsSK Brann 4 shots, IK Start 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.83 xG1.29 xGSK Brann 1.83 xG, IK Start 1.29 xG
  • Possession64%36%SK Brann 64%, IK Start 36%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersSK Brann 4 corners, IK Start 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsSK Brann 9 fouls, IK Start 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SK Brann favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · IK Start in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SK Brann13 matchesIK Start13 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.08 goals/match
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/132.31 goals/match
1.71 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.07 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots13/1311.5 shots/match
4.77 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.54 shots/match
58.2% ●Possession13/1339.8%
6.46 corners/match ●Corners13/133.15 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSK BrannIK Start
CompetitionEliteserien
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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