Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeBrann StadionFull-time recap

Brann

WWLLL

2–1Full-time recap

Start

DLLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brann	Start
Shots	15 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.83 xG/match▲	1.29 xG/match
Possession	64%	36%
Corners	4 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Start's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Brann have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Start's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Start's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.08 goals/match	1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Brann have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.2%▲PossessionBrann · Start39.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Brann	Start	Baseline
Possession	58.2%	39.8%	50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Brann favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Start in 0 · 6 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131.08 goals/match

1.62 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/132.31 goals/match

1.71 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/131.07 xG/match

1.57 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/131.54 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/1311.5 shots/match

14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1314.3 shots/match

4.77 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/133.54 shots/match

4.38 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/135 shots/match

58.2%Possessionseason · 13/1339.8%

6.46 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/133.15 corners/match

4.77 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/135.46 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1312.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/138%

92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1385%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brann84.4

Start3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brann71.9

Start17.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brann42.7

Start18.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brann15.6

Start78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brann28.1

Start78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brann84.4

Start3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brann61

Start26.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.8 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.1 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.2 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

60.8%Possession5/533.4%

5.4 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

8.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.6 goals/match

1.58 xG/match▲Expected goals10/100.99 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShots10/1012.2 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match

57.8%Possession10/1037.8%

6.1 corners/matchCorners10/102.6 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.08 goals/match

1.62 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/132.31 goals/match

1.71 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.07 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots13/1311.5 shots/match

4.77 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.54 shots/match

58.2%Possession13/1339.8%

6.46 corners/matchCorners13/133.15 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 8 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/81 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/82.88 goals/match

1.76 xG/match▲Expected goals6/80.87 xG/match

14.5 shots/match▲Shots6/810.6 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/83.63 shots/match

65.5%Possession6/838.8%

6.33 corners/matchCorners6/82.38 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

8.5 fouls/matchFouls6/813.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

43.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/143.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4