Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeJotun ArenaFull-time recap

Sandefjord

WWLDL

2–2Full-time recap

Ham-Kam

DWLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sandefjord	Ham-Kam
Shots	13 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	3 shots/match
Expected goals	0.83 xG/match	1.7 xG/match▲
Possession	46%	54%
Corners	4 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	17 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sandefjord's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sandefjord's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sandefjord's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sandefjord's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sandefjord show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sandefjord's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsSandefjord · Ham-Kam10.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sandefjord	Ham-Kam	Baseline
Shots	14.3 shots/match	10.7 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	13.1 shots/match	14.5 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.3 fouls/match▲FoulsSandefjord · Ham-Kam12.5 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Sandefjord	Ham-Kam	Baseline
Fouls	13.3 fouls/match	12.5 fouls/match	11.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sandefjord favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Ham-Kam in 4 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/11▲1.73 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/111.64 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/11▲1.33 xG/match

1.37 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/111.48 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1110.7 shots/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 12/1114.5 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/114.27 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/114.55 shots/match

51.3%Possessionseason · 12/1146.9%

6.08 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/114.55 corners/match

6.92 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/11▲5.36 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/2—

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1112.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1127%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/11▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sandefjord59.4

Ham-Kam34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sandefjord46.9

Ham-Kam40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sandefjord65.6

Ham-Kam30.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sandefjord65.6

Ham-Kam21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sandefjord96.9

Ham-Kam84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sandefjord78.1

Ham-Kam28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sandefjord75

Ham-Kam39.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

0.83 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.24 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShots5/510.4 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.8 shots/match

48%Possession5/548.8%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.36 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.7 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/104.3 shots/match

49.3%Possession10/1047.7%

5.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 11 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored12/11▲1.73 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/111.64 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals12/11▲1.33 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots12/1110.7 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on target12/114.27 shots/match

51.3%Possession12/1146.9%

6.08 corners/matchCorners12/114.55 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1112.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored6/5▲1.4 goals/match

0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/52.2 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲1.25 xG/match

14.7 shots/match▲Shots6/510.4 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/53.4 shots/match

53.5%Possession6/550%

6.67 corners/matchCorners6/55.4 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

14.8 fouls/matchFouls6/513 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

43 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/143.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4