Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Lillestrom

LWLLW

2–1Full-time recap

KFUM Oslo

LLWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lillestrom	KFUM Oslo
Shots	6 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.24 xG/match▲	0.46 xG/match
Possession	54%	46%
Corners	5 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: KFUM Oslo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

KFUM Oslo's recent record differs from the season

weak

KFUM Oslo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lillestrom favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · KFUM Oslo in 0 · 6 too close

1.62 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131 goals/match

0.92 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.62 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/131.06 xG/match

1.1 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.46 xG/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/1310.7 shots/match

12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1311.8 shots/match

4.38 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/134 shots/match

4.08 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/134.69 shots/match

52.3%Possessionseason · 13/1346.4%

5.23 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.15 corners/match

4.85 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/134.69 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/42.75 cards/match

9.92 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1312.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1331%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1369%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lillestrom71.9

KFUM Oslo34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lillestrom56.3

KFUM Oslo17.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lillestrom74

KFUM Oslo53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lillestrom40.6

KFUM Oslo28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom9.4

KFUM Oslo73.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom53.1

KFUM Oslo9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lillestrom42.2

KFUM Oslo29.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

1.13 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51 xG/match

11 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match

54.6%Possession5/540.6%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

1.26 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.07 xG/match

11.2 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.2 shots/match

4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match

52.1%Possession10/1042.4%

5.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match

—Cards1/42.75 cards/match

9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

1.62 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131 goals/match

0.92 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.62 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.06 xG/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shots13/1310.7 shots/match

4.38 shots/match▲Shots on target13/134 shots/match

52.3%Possession13/1346.4%

5.23 corners/matchCorners13/134.15 corners/match

—Cards1/42.75 cards/match

9.92 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

2.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.5 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.1 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots6/6▲11.5 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4.5 shots/match

55.5%Possession6/647%

5 corners/matchCorners6/63 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

9.5 fouls/matchFouls6/611 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.06 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4