Eliteserien · 2026Wed, 22 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Lillestrom

WLLWW

1–2Full-time recap

Viking

WWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lillestrom	Viking
Shots	11 shots/match	11 shots/match
Shots on target	1 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.35 xG/match▲	0.87 xG/match
Possession	53%	47%
Corners	3 corners/match	9 corners/match
Fouls	17 fouls/match	20 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Viking. A second useful context is: Lillestrom's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Viking.

4.12 days▲Rest daysLillestrom · Viking3.96 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Lillestrom	Viking	Baseline
Rest days	4.12 days	3.96 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lillestrom's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lillestrom's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.57 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lillestrom favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Viking in 8 · 5 too close

1.57 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/13▲2.54 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/131 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/13▲1.86 xG/match

1.08 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/13▲0.93 xG/match

12 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/13▲14.5 shots/match

12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/13▲10.8 shots/match

4.14 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/13▲5.54 shots/match

4.21 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/13▲2.85 shots/match

52.4%Possessionseason · 14/1350.6%

5.07 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/136.23 corners/match

5.14 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/135 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/32.33 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1313 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1331%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/13▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lillestrom71.9

Viking53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lillestrom53.1

Viking90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lillestrom68.8

Viking88.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lillestrom28.1

Viking71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom15.6

Viking59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom53.1

Viking78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lillestrom40.6

Viking86.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.27 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.6 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5 shots/match

54.6%Possession5/551.8%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.7 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.76 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.1 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.6 shots/match

53.4%Possession10/1051.5%

5.2 corners/matchCorners10/106.2 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 13 matches

1.57 goals/matchGoals scored14/13▲2.54 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed14/131 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals14/13▲1.86 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots14/13▲14.5 shots/match

4.14 shots/matchShots on target14/13▲5.54 shots/match

52.4%Possession14/1350.6%

5.07 corners/matchCorners14/136.23 corners/match

—Cards1/32.33 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1313 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.43 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲0.86 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.67 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShots7/7▲13.6 shots/match

3.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲4.43 shots/match

55.1%Possession7/755.1%

4.71 corners/matchCorners7/76.43 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls7/711.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.96 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Jul 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4