Eliteserien · 2026Thu, 16 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeIntility ArenaFull-time recap

Valerenga

LWLWL

6–1Full-time recap

Aalesund

WWDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Valerenga	Aalesund
Shots	22 shots/match▲	18 shots/match
Shots on target	10 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Expected goals	2.58 xG/match▲	1.51 xG/match
Possession	46%	54%
Corners	8 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	5 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valerenga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Valerenga's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Valerenga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valerenga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.46 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.46 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valerenga show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Valerenga's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match▲ShotsValerenga · Aalesund14.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Valerenga	Aalesund	Baseline
Shots	15.8 shots/match	14.3 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	14.7 shots/match	16.2 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Valerenga favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Aalesund in 1 · 3 too close

1.46 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131.38 goals/match

1.69 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/132.15 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/131.22 xG/match

1.63 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.98 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/1314.3 shots/match

14.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1316.2 shots/match

5.23 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/134.77 shots/match

5.08 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/136.31 shots/match

50.8%Possessionseason · 13/1343.9%

7.15 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.54 corners/match

5.31 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/137.31 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1312.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

15%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/130%

62%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲85%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valerenga53.1

Aalesund21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valerenga73.9

Aalesund64.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valerenga21.9

Aalesund5.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valerenga90.6

Aalesund96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valerenga37.5

Aalesund81.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valerenga96.9

Aalesund21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valerenga75.8

Aalesund62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

1.84 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.53 xG/match

17.6 shots/match▲Shots5/516.4 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55 shots/match

56.8%Possession5/544.4%

6.6 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.1 goals/match

1.61 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.3 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1014.6 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.6 shots/match

52.8%Possession10/1044%

7 corners/matchCorners10/105.1 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

1.46 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.38 goals/match

1.69 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/132.15 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.22 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots13/1314.3 shots/match

5.23 shots/match▲Shots on target13/134.77 shots/match

50.8%Possession13/1343.9%

7.15 corners/matchCorners13/134.54 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches

2.14 goals/match▲Goals scored7/61 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/62.33 goals/match

1.62 xG/match▲Expected goals7/60.99 xG/match

17 shots/match▲Shots7/612.3 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target7/63.67 shots/match

47.9%Possession7/640.5%

8.57 corners/matchCorners7/63.5 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.1 fouls/matchFouls7/610.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.12 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 16 Jul 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4