Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeBriskeby ArenaFull-time recap

Ham-Kam

WLWDD

1–4Full-time recap

Tromso

WLDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Ham-Kam	Tromso
Shots	6 shots/match	23 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.8 xG/match	1.9 xG/match▲
Possession	37%	63%
Corners	1 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Ham-Kam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Tromso's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Ham-Kam show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ham-Kam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match▲ShotsHam-Kam · Tromso13.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Ham-Kam	Tromso	Baseline
Shots	10.3 shots/match	13.9 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	15.2 shots/match	10.3 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Tromso have a visible away split

moderate

Tromso's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.5 shots/match	13.9 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Ham-Kam favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Tromso in 9 · 4 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/151.73 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/15▲1 goals/match

1.28 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/15▲1.68 xG/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/15▲1.07 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/15▲13.9 shots/match

15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/15▲10.3 shots/match

4.08 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/15▲5.4 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/15▲3.13 shots/match

46.1%Possessionseason · 12/1549.9%

4.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/155.6 corners/match

5.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/15▲4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 2/1—

12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1511.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/15▲53%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1573%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Ham-Kam28.1

Tromso46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Ham-Kam37.5

Tromso76

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Ham-Kam21.9

Tromso87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Ham-Kam15.6

Tromso65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Ham-Kam78.1

Tromso46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 53%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Ham-Kam21.9

Tromso65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Ham-Kam35.9

Tromso65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.35 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.2 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match

49%Possession5/551%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.6 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.31 xG/match

9.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.3 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.9 shots/match

46.9%Possession10/1049.1%

3.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 15 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored12/151.73 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed12/15▲1 goals/match

1.28 xG/matchExpected goals12/15▲1.68 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots12/15▲13.9 shots/match

4.08 shots/matchShots on target12/15▲5.4 shots/match

46.1%Possession12/1549.9%

4.25 corners/matchCorners12/155.6 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1511.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 6 matches

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/61.33 goals/match

1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲1.33 goals/match

1.31 xG/match▲Expected goals7/61.15 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots7/6▲11.5 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/64.5 shots/match

43.3%Possession7/648.2%

3.43 corners/matchCorners7/64.17 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

12 fouls/matchFouls7/611.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.83 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4