Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 11 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCFull timeRomssa ArenaFull-time recap

Tromso

DWLDD

4–0Full-time recap

Valerenga

DLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tromso	Valerenga
Shots	13 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.95 xG/match▲	0.77 xG/match
Possession	38%	62%
Corners	4 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tromso's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Tromso have a visible home split

moderate

Tromso's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.4 shots/match	13.2 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.64 corners/match▲CornersTromso · Valerenga7.08 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Tromso	Valerenga	Baseline
Corners	5.64 corners/match	7.08 corners/match	5.08 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tromso favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Valerenga in 1 · 3 too close

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/121.08 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/121.75 goals/match

1.67 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/121.33 xG/match

1.09 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 14/121.64 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/12▲15.3 shots/match

10.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1214.4 shots/match

5.29 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/124.83 shots/match

3.21 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/125 shots/match

48.9%Possessionseason · 14/1251.2%

5.64 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/127.08 corners/match

4.21 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/125.17 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1211.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

57%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1217%

71%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1258%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tromso40.6

Valerenga65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tromso69.8

Valerenga63.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tromso86.5

Valerenga24

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tromso59.4

Valerenga90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tromso59.4

Valerenga50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tromso65.6

Valerenga96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tromso68.8

Valerenga78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.31 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.63 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.8 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match

47.2%Possession5/560.4%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.41 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲16.2 shots/match

4.8 shots/matchShots on target10/104.7 shots/match

48.8%Possession10/1053.3%

4.8 corners/matchCorners10/107.2 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 12 matches

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored14/121.08 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/121.75 goals/match

1.67 xG/match▲Expected goals14/121.33 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots14/12▲15.3 shots/match

5.29 shots/match▲Shots on target14/124.83 shots/match

48.9%Possession14/1251.2%

5.64 corners/matchCorners14/127.08 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1211.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 6 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored9/60.67 goals/match

0.78 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/62.17 goals/match

2.04 xG/match▲Expected goals9/61.21 xG/match

15.4 shots/match▲Shots9/614.5 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target9/64.33 shots/match

51%Possession9/654.2%

6.56 corners/matchCorners9/65.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls9/612 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

43 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/143 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples14 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4