PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Romssa Arena

Tromsø IL 4–0 Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien

4–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Tromsø IL won 4–0.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
1.950.77
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tromso beat Valerenga 4–0. Recorded in this match (Tromso – Valerenga): shots 13–17, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 1.95–0.77, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tromso have a visible home split

moderate

Tromso's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.64 corners/matchCornersTromso · Valerenga● 7.08 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricTromsoValerengaBaseline
Corners5.64 corners/match7.08 corners/match5.08 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsTromsø IL 13 shots, Vålerenga IF 17 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsTromsø IL 8 shots, Vålerenga IF 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.95 xG0.77 xGTromsø IL 1.95 xG, Vålerenga IF 0.77 xG
  • Possession38%62%Tromsø IL 38%, Vålerenga IF 62%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersTromsø IL 4 corners, Vålerenga IF 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsTromsø IL 10 fouls, Vålerenga IF 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Tromsø IL
2Draws
2Vålerenga IF
Vålerenga IF — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien1–0
Tromsø IL — Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien2–1
Vålerenga IF — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien1–1
Tromsø IL — Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien0–0
Vålerenga IF — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tromsø IL favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Vålerenga IF in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tromsø IL14 matchesVålerenga IF12 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/121.08 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed14/121.75 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/121.33 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots14/12▲ 15.3 shots/match
5.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/124.83 shots/match
48.9%Possession14/12● 51.2%
5.64 corners/matchCorners14/12● 7.08 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1211.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples14 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTromsø ILVålerenga IF
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headTromsø IL — Vålerenga IF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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