PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Fredrikstad Stadion

Fredrikstad FK 0–2 Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Lillestrøm SK won 0–2.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
1.171.24
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lillestrom beat Fredrikstad 2–0. Recorded in this match (Fredrikstad – Lillestrom): shots 14–10, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 1.17–1.24, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lillestrom's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lillestrom's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.58 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsFredrikstad FK 14 shots, Lillestrøm SK 10 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsFredrikstad FK 1 shot, Lillestrøm SK 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.17 xG1.24 xGFredrikstad FK 1.17 xG, Lillestrøm SK 1.24 xG
  • Possession61%39%Fredrikstad FK 61%, Lillestrøm SK 39%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersFredrikstad FK 8 corners, Lillestrøm SK 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsFredrikstad FK 7 fouls, Lillestrøm SK 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fredrikstad FK
0Draws
0Lillestrøm SK
Fredrikstad FK — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien2–1
Lillestrøm SK — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fredrikstad FK favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Lillestrøm SK in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fredrikstad FK12 matchesLillestrøm SK12 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.43 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 12.6 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 4.42 shots/match
49.6%Possession12/12● 52.2%
4.58 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.25 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1210 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFredrikstad FKLillestrøm SK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headFredrikstad FK — Lillestrøm SK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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