PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Color Line Stadion

Aalesunds FK 2–2 Molde FK · Eliteserien

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Aalesunds FK and Molde FK drew 2–2.

Shots
920
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
0.611.91
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aalesund and Molde drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Aalesund – Molde): shots 9–20, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 0.61–1.91, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Aalesund's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aalesund's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.42 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Molde have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.1%PossessionAalesund · Molde● 58.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAalesundMoldeBaseline
Possession43.1%58.9%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots20 shotsAalesunds FK 9 shots, Molde FK 20 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsAalesunds FK 4 shots, Molde FK 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.61 xG1.91 xGAalesunds FK 0.61 xG, Molde FK 1.91 xG
  • Possession46%54%Aalesunds FK 46%, Molde FK 54%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersAalesunds FK 2 corners, Molde FK 7 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsAalesunds FK 18 fouls, Molde FK 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Aalesunds FK
0Draws
3Molde FK
Aalesunds FK — Molde FK · Eliteserien3–1
Molde FK — Aalesunds FK · Eliteserien3–0
Molde FK — Aalesunds FK · Eliteserien3–0
Aalesunds FK — Molde FK · Eliteserien0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aalesunds FK favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Molde FK in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aalesunds FK12 matchesMolde FK12 matches
1.42 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.49 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots12/1212 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/124.42 shots/match
43.1%Possession12/12● 58.9%
4.33 corners/matchCorners12/12● 4.83 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1211 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jul 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAalesunds FKMolde FK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headAalesunds FK — Molde FK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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