PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Åråsen

Lillestrøm SK 2–1 KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Lillestrøm SK won 2–1.

Shots
68
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.240.46
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lillestrøm SK beat KFUM Oslo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lillestrøm SK – KFUM Oslo): shots 6–8, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.24–0.46, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KFUM Oslo's recent record differs from the season

weak

KFUM Oslo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots8 shotsLillestrøm SK 6 shots, KFUM Oslo 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsLillestrøm SK 4 shots, KFUM Oslo 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.24 xG0.46 xGLillestrøm SK 1.24 xG, KFUM Oslo 0.46 xG
  • Possession54%46%Lillestrøm SK 54%, KFUM Oslo 46%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersLillestrøm SK 5 corners, KFUM Oslo 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsLillestrøm SK 9 fouls, KFUM Oslo 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsLillestrøm SK 0 cards, KFUM Oslo 4 cards
  • Passes555 passes454 passesLillestrøm SK 555 passes, KFUM Oslo 454 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.7%74.9%Lillestrøm SK 80.7%, KFUM Oslo 74.9%
  • Shots inside box5 shots4 shotsLillestrøm SK 5 shots, KFUM Oslo 4 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockLillestrøm SK 1 block, KFUM Oslo 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesLillestrøm SK 3 saves, KFUM Oslo 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideLillestrøm SK 1 offside, KFUM Oslo 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jonas Lange Hjorth · KFUM Oslo · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobin Rasch · KFUM Oslo · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFrederik Elkær · Lillestrøm SK · 30′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRasmus Eggen Vinge · KFUM Oslo · 5′ · 0.04 xG · goalJonas Lange Hjorth · KFUM Oslo · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThomas Lehne Olsen · Lillestrøm SK · 12′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTore Andre Soras · KFUM Oslo · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSturla Ottesen · Lillestrøm SK · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSturla Ottesen · Lillestrøm SK · 12′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGustav Kjolstad Nyheim · Lillestrøm SK · 6′ · 0.17 xG · goalTeodor Haltvik · KFUM Oslo · 90′ · 0.19 xG · on targetBrage Skaret · KFUM Oslo · 61′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedFelix Vá · Lillestrøm SK · 85′ · 0.87 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lillestrøm SK: 6 shots, 4 on target, 1.32 xG. KFUM Oslo: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.59 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim · Lillestrøm SK · 6′Felix Vá · Lillestrøm SK · 85′Rasmus Eggen Vinge · KFUM Oslo · 5′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lillestrøm SK 1.32 xG · KFUM Oslo 0.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lillestrøm SK
0Draws
1KFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien2–0
Lillestrøm SK — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lillestrøm SK favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · KFUM Oslo in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lillestrøm SK13 matchesKFUM Oslo13 matches
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131 goal/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.62 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.06 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots13/1310.7 shots/match
4.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/134 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession13/1346.4%
5.23 corners/match ●Corners13/134.15 corners/match
9.92 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLillestrøm SKKFUM Oslo
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headLillestrøm SK — KFUM Oslo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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