PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Åråsen

Lillestrøm SK 1–2 Viking FK · Eliteserien

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Viking FK won 1–2.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
1.350.87
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Viking FK beat Lillestrøm SK 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lillestrøm SK – Viking FK): shots 11–11, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 1.35–0.87, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lillestrøm SK's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lillestrøm SK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsLillestrøm SK 11 shots, Viking FK 11 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsLillestrøm SK 1 shot, Viking FK 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.35 xG0.87 xGLillestrøm SK 1.35 xG, Viking FK 0.87 xG
  • Possession53%47%Lillestrøm SK 53%, Viking FK 47%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersLillestrøm SK 3 corners, Viking FK 9 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls20 foulsLillestrøm SK 17 fouls, Viking FK 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsLillestrøm SK 2 cards, Viking FK 4 cards
  • Passes508 passes433 passesLillestrøm SK 508 passes, Viking FK 433 passes
  • Pass accuracy78%76.9%Lillestrøm SK 78%, Viking FK 76.9%
  • Shots inside box7 shots6 shotsLillestrøm SK 7 shots, Viking FK 6 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks1 blockLillestrøm SK 5 blocks, Viking FK 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves0 savesLillestrøm SK 4 saves, Viking FK 0 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideLillestrøm SK 0 offsides, Viking FK 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lars Ranger · Lillestrøm SK · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustav Kjolstad Nyheim · Lillestrøm SK · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLars Ranger · Lillestrøm SK · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZlatko Tripić · Viking FK · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFrederik Elkær · Lillestrøm SK · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSimen Kvia-Egeskog · Viking FK · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPeter Christiansen · Viking FK · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Askildsen · Viking FK · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Kemp Fuglestad · Viking FK · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLars Ranger · Lillestrøm SK · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLars Ranger · Lillestrøm SK · 63′ · 0.05 xG · goalGustav Kjolstad Nyheim · Lillestrøm SK · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPeter Christiansen · Viking FK · 29′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPeter Christiansen · Viking FK · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Askildsen · Viking FK · 31′ · 0.10 xG · goalHenrik Heggheim · Viking FK · 42′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYaw Paintsil · Lillestrøm SK · 32′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAnders Baertelsen · Viking FK · 53′ · 0.17 xG · on targetPeter Christiansen · Viking FK · 55′ · 0.19 xG · goalLars Ranger · Lillestrøm SK · 86′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lillestrøm SK: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.58 xG. Viking FK: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.88 xG. · 2 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Lars Ranger · Lillestrøm SK · 63′Kristoffer Askildsen · Viking FK · 31′Peter Christiansen · Viking FK · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lillestrøm SK 0.58 xG · Viking FK 0.88 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lillestrøm SK
0Draws
3Viking FK
Lillestrøm SK — Viking FK · Eliteserien1–4
Viking FK — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien1–4
Lillestrøm SK — Viking FK · Eliteserien1–3
Viking FK — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien2–0
Viking FK — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lillestrøm SK favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Viking FK in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lillestrøm SK14 matchesViking FK13 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored14/13▲ 2.54 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed14/131 goal/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals14/13▲ 1.86 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots14/13▲ 14.5 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target14/13▲ 5.54 shots/match
52.4% ●Possession14/1350.6%
5.07 corners/matchCorners14/13● 6.23 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/52.8 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples14 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 22 Jul 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLillestrøm SKViking FK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headLillestrøm SK — Viking FK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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