Eliteserien · 2026Aspmyra Stadion

Bodø/Glimt 1–0 Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Bodø/Glimt won 1–0.

Shots
192
Shots on target
50
Expected goals
2.240.12
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bodø/Glimt beat Fredrikstad FK 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bodø/Glimt – Fredrikstad FK): shots 19–2, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 2.24–0.12, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bodø/Glimt have a visible home split

moderate

Bodø/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21.2 shots/match16.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fredrikstad FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fredrikstad FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBodø/Glimt · Fredrikstad FK11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBodø/GlimtFredrikstad FKBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against8.31 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bodø/Glimt have recorded the higher season possession share.

65% ●PossessionBodø/Glimt · Fredrikstad FK48.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBodø/GlimtFredrikstad FKBaseline
Possession65%48.4%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots2 shotsBodø/Glimt 19 shots, Fredrikstad FK 2 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsBodø/Glimt 5 shots, Fredrikstad FK 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.24 xG0.12 xGBodø/Glimt 2.24 xG, Fredrikstad FK 0.12 xG
  • Possession66%34%Bodø/Glimt 66%, Fredrikstad FK 34%
  • Corners12 corners0 cornersBodø/Glimt 12 corners, Fredrikstad FK 0 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls14 foulsBodø/Glimt 7 fouls, Fredrikstad FK 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsBodø/Glimt 1 card, Fredrikstad FK 4 cards
  • Passes762 passes396 passesBodø/Glimt 762 passes, Fredrikstad FK 396 passes
  • Pass accuracy89.5%82.8%Bodø/Glimt 89.5%, Fredrikstad FK 82.8%
  • Shots inside box14 shots2 shotsBodø/Glimt 14 shots, Fredrikstad FK 2 shots
  • Blocked shots11 blocks0 blocksBodø/Glimt 11 blocks, Fredrikstad FK 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves4 savesBodø/Glimt 0 saves, Fredrikstad FK 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesBodø/Glimt 1 offside, Fredrikstad FK 0 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sondre Auklend · Bodø/Glimt · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJens Petter Hauge · Bodø/Glimt · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSondre Auklend · Bodø/Glimt · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSondre Fet · Bodø/Glimt · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsak Dybvik Määttä · Bodø/Glimt · 36′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIsak Dybvik Määttä · Bodø/Glimt · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIsak Dybvik Määttä · Bodø/Glimt · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOla Brynhildsen · Bodø/Glimt · 46′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kitolano · Bodø/Glimt · 13′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSondre Fet · Bodø/Glimt · 46′ · 0.10 xG · on targetOdin Luras Bjørtuft · Bodø/Glimt · 51′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSondre Fet · Bodø/Glimt · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSondre Auklend · Bodø/Glimt · 58′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedOla Brynhildsen · Bodø/Glimt · 3′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSondre Fet · Bodø/Glimt · 68′ · 0.13 xG · on targetOla Brynhildsen · Bodø/Glimt · 23′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedHenrik Langaas Skogvold · Fredrikstad FK · 90′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Helmersen · Bodø/Glimt · 88′ · 0.18 xG · on targetOle Didrik Blomberg · Bodø/Glimt · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bodø/Glimt: 19 shots, 5 on target, 2.41 xG. Fredrikstad FK: 1 shots, 0 on target, 0.17 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ole Didrik Blomberg · Bodø/Glimt · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bodø/Glimt 2.41 xG · Fredrikstad FK 0.17 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Bodø/Glimt
1Draws
0Fredrikstad FK
Bodø/Glimt — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien5–0
Fredrikstad FK — Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien0–1
Bodø/Glimt — Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien2–2
Fredrikstad FK — Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bodø/Glimt favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Fredrikstad FK in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bodø/Glimt13 matchesFredrikstad FK13 matches
2.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.15 goals/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.77 goals/match
2.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.14 xG/match
16.8 shots/match ▲Shots13/1311.2 shots/match
6.54 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.46 shots/match
65% ●Possession13/1348.4%
7.08 corners/match ●Corners13/134.23 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 Jul 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

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