Eliteserien · 2026Fri, 17 Jul 2026, 17:15 UTCFull timeAspmyra StadionFull-time recap

Bodo/Glimt

WWWDW

1–0Full-time recap

Fredrikstad

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bodo/Glimt	Fredrikstad
Shots	19 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	0 shots/match
Expected goals	2.24 xG/match▲	0.12 xG/match
Possession	66%	34%
Corners	12 corners/match	0 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bodo/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Fredrikstad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Bodo/Glimt have a visible home split

moderate

Bodo/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season16.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	21.2 shots/match	16.8 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fredrikstad show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fredrikstad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match▲ShotsBodo/Glimt · Fredrikstad11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bodo/Glimt	Fredrikstad	Baseline
Shots	16.8 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	8.31 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bodo/Glimt have recorded the higher season possession share.

65%▲PossessionBodo/Glimt · Fredrikstad48.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Bodo/Glimt	Fredrikstad	Baseline
Possession	65%	48.4%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bodo/Glimt favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Fredrikstad in 0 · 3 too close

2.38 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131.15 goals/match

0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.77 goals/match

2.21 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/131.14 xG/match

0.99 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.62 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/1311.2 shots/match

8.31 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1313.5 shots/match

6.54 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/133.46 shots/match

3.15 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/135.08 shots/match

65%Possessionseason · 13/1348.4%

7.08 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.23 corners/match

2.15 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/135.31 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1311.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

54%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/130%

85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1369%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bodo/Glimt96.9

Fredrikstad40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bodo/Glimt94.8

Fredrikstad17.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bodo/Glimt94.8

Fredrikstad29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bodo/Glimt46.9

Fredrikstad28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bodo/Glimt3.1

Fredrikstad53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bodo/Glimt90.6

Fredrikstad15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bodo/Glimt71.9

Fredrikstad21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

2.09 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.09 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

63.2%Possession5/551.6%

6.4 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

2.37 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.25 xG/match

18.2 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.7 shots/match

7.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match

62.9%Possession10/1048.6%

7.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

9.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

2.38 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.15 goals/match

0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.77 goals/match

2.21 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.14 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shots13/1311.2 shots/match

6.54 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.46 shots/match

65%Possession13/1348.4%

7.08 corners/matchCorners13/134.23 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

9 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches

2.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/70.86 goals/match

0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/72.14 goals/match

2.89 xG/match▲Expected goals6/71.07 xG/match

21.2 shots/match▲Shots6/79.14 shots/match

8.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/73.14 shots/match

65.2%Possession6/747.9%

9 corners/matchCorners6/73.57 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

8.67 fouls/matchFouls6/712.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.22 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 Jul 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4