Eliteserien · 2026Fri, 29 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeLerkendal StadionFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRosenborgBodo/Glimt
Shots8 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.35 xG/match1.99 xG/match
Possession41%59%
Corners0 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bodo/Glimt. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Rosenborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bodo/Glimt.

4.08 daysRest daysRosenborg · Bodo/Glimt5.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRosenborgBodo/GlimtBaseline
Rest days4.08 days5.12 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bodo/Glimt have a visible away split

moderate

Bodo/Glimt's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.8 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match16.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Rosenborg favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Bodo/Glimt in 11 · 3 too close

0.82 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/112.55 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/111 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/112.25 xG/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/111.07 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/1116.8 shots/match
13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/118.64 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/116.73 shots/match
5.36 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/113.55 shots/match
50.7%Possessionseason · 11/1166.1%
5.55 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/116.91 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/112 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/1
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/119.18 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1145%
45%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1182%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rosenborg65.6
Bodo/Glimt96.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rosenborg11.4
Bodo/Glimt94.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rosenborg22.9
Bodo/Glimt90.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rosenborg9.4
Bodo/Glimt53.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg21.9
Bodo/Glimt3.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg59.4
Bodo/Glimt90.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rosenborg28.1
Bodo/Glimt71.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.8 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals5/52.37 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots5/517.6 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/57.4 shots/match
53%Possession5/565.4%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
Cards0/1
10 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.5 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals10/102.26 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots10/1017.1 shots/match
3.1 shots/matchShots on target10/106.6 shots/match
52%Possession10/1065.4%
5.7 corners/matchCorners10/107 corners/match
Cards0/1
10 fouls/matchFouls10/109.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored11/112.55 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals11/112.25 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots11/1116.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target11/116.73 shots/match
50.7%Possession11/1166.1%
5.55 corners/matchCorners11/116.91 corners/match
Cards0/1
10.3 fouls/matchFouls11/119.18 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/62 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.61 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots6/612.8 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/64.67 shots/match
52.7%Possession6/667%
6.83 corners/matchCorners6/65.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.2 fouls/matchFouls6/69.33 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.12 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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