PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026KFUM Arena

KFUM Oslo 2–0 Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

KFUM Oslo won 2–0.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
112
Expected goals
2.60.93
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

KFUM Oslo beat Rosenborg 2–0. Recorded in this match (KFUM Oslo – Rosenborg): shots 18–12, shots on target 11–2, expected goals 2.6–0.93, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rosenborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.7 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsKFUM Oslo 18 shots, Rosenborg BK 12 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots2 shotsKFUM Oslo 11 shots, Rosenborg BK 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.6 xG0.93 xGKFUM Oslo 2.6 xG, Rosenborg BK 0.93 xG
  • Possession44%56%KFUM Oslo 44%, Rosenborg BK 56%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersKFUM Oslo 9 corners, Rosenborg BK 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls4 foulsKFUM Oslo 16 fouls, Rosenborg BK 4 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsKFUM Oslo 2 cards, Rosenborg BK 0 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3KFUM Oslo
1Draws
0Rosenborg BK
KFUM Oslo — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien4–1
Rosenborg BK — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien1–1
KFUM Oslo — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien1–0
Rosenborg BK — KFUM Oslo · Eliteserien1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KFUM Oslo favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Rosenborg BK in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KFUM Oslo10 matchesRosenborg BK10 matches
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.09 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots10/1011.4 shots/match
4.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match
46.9%Possession10/10● 51.7%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/10● 6.1 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKFUM OsloRosenborg BK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headKFUM Oslo — Rosenborg BK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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