Eliteserien · 2026Mon, 25 May 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeKFUM ArenaFull-time recap

KFUM Oslo

LWDLL

2–0Full-time recap

Rosenborg

DDLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	KFUM Oslo	Rosenborg
Shots	18 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	11 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.6 xG/match▲	0.93 xG/match
Possession	44%	56%
Corners	9 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	4 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Rosenborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.7 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.7 goals/match	1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

KFUM Oslo favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Rosenborg in 1 · 5 too close

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/100.7 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.19 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 10/101.09 xG/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/101.5 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1011.4 shots/match

12 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 10/1013.7 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/103.1 shots/match

4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/105.6 shots/match

46.9%Possessionseason · 10/1051.7%

4.1 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/106.1 corners/match

4.7 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/106 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/109.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

30%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1020%

80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1040%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

KFUM Oslo34.4

Rosenborg65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

KFUM Oslo49

Rosenborg10.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

KFUM Oslo44.8

Rosenborg28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

KFUM Oslo46.9

Rosenborg9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

KFUM Oslo73.5

Rosenborg9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

KFUM Oslo15.6

Rosenborg71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

KFUM Oslo48.5

Rosenborg27.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.18 xG/match

9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲12 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

39%Possession5/553%

3.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

3.33 cards/matchCards3/0—

13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.19 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.09 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots10/1011.4 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match

46.9%Possession10/1051.7%

4.1 corners/matchCorners10/106.1 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.19 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.09 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots10/1011.4 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match

46.9%Possession10/1051.7%

4.1 corners/matchCorners10/106.1 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.16 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.85 xG/match

10.8 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

46.6%Possession5/548.4%

5.4 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.04 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples10 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4