Eliteserien · 2026Mon, 25 May 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeSarpsborg StadionFull-time recap

Sarpsborg 08 FF

LLLWL

2–1Full-time recap

Molde

DWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sarpsborg 08 FF	Molde
Shots	5 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.05 xG/match	1.35 xG/match▲
Possession	23%	77%
Corners	2 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	6 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Molde have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Molde have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.5%▲PossessionSarpsborg 08 FF · Molde60.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Sarpsborg 08 FF	Molde	Baseline
Possession	45.5%	60.2%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sarpsborg 08 FF favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Molde in 5 · 9 too close

1.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/10▲1.2 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/10▲1.48 xG/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/101.4 xG/match

11 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1011.5 shots/match

12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1012.4 shots/match

4.1 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/104.2 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/104.5 shots/match

45.5%Possessionseason · 10/1060.2%

4.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/104.6 corners/match

4.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/104.8 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/2—

10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1011.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/10▲30%

70%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/10▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sarpsborg 08 FF28.1

Molde90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sarpsborg 08 FF24

Molde47.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sarpsborg 08 FF62.5

Molde62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sarpsborg 08 FF40.6

Molde3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sarpsborg 08 FF21.9

Molde34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 55%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sarpsborg 08 FF46.9

Molde40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sarpsborg 08 FF26.6

Molde36.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.55 xG/match

9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.6 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match

48%Possession5/559%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/57 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.48 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots10/1011.5 shots/match

4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/104.2 shots/match

45.5%Possession10/1060.2%

4.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches

1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.48 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots10/1011.5 shots/match

4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/104.2 shots/match

45.5%Possession10/1060.2%

4.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.46 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.22 xG/match

11 shots/match▲Shots5/510 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match

43.8%Possession5/559.6%

6.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.04 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples10 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4