PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08 2–1 Molde FK · Eliteserien

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sarpsborg 08 won 2–1.

Shots
513
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.051.35
Possession
23%77%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sarpsborg 08 FF beat Molde 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sarpsborg 08 FF – Molde): shots 5–13, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.05–1.35, possession 23%–77%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Molde have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.5%PossessionSarpsborg 08 FF · Molde● 60.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSarpsborg 08 FFMoldeBaseline
Possession45.5%60.2%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots13 shotsSarpsborg 08 5 shots, Molde FK 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsSarpsborg 08 2 shots, Molde FK 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.05 xG1.35 xGSarpsborg 08 1.05 xG, Molde FK 1.35 xG
  • Possession23%77%Sarpsborg 08 23%, Molde FK 77%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersSarpsborg 08 2 corners, Molde FK 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls6 foulsSarpsborg 08 13 fouls, Molde FK 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardSarpsborg 08 1 card, Molde FK 1 card

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Sarpsborg 08
1Draws
1Molde FK
Sarpsborg 08 — Molde FK · Eliteserien1–0
Molde FK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien0–2
Sarpsborg 08 — Molde FK · Eliteserien2–2
Molde FK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien2–4
Sarpsborg 08 — Molde FK · Eliteserien1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarpsborg 08 favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Molde FK in 5 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarpsborg 0810 matchesMolde FK10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.48 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots10/1011.5 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/104.2 shots/match
45.5%Possession10/10● 60.2%
4.9 corners/match ●Corners10/104.6 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSarpsborg 08Molde FK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headSarpsborg 08 — Molde FK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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