Eliteserien · 2026Mon, 25 May 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeBriskeby ArenaFull-time recap

Ham-Kam

WWDWL

2–0Full-time recap

Lillestrom

LWLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Ham-Kam	Lillestrom
Shots	9 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.99 xG/match	1.25 xG/match▲
Possession	40%	60%
Corners	4 corners/match	9 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Ham-Kam's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Lillestrom have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Ham-Kam's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ham-Kam's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.67 goals/match	1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lillestrom have recorded the higher season possession share.

45%▲PossessionHam-Kam · Lillestrom53.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Ham-Kam	Lillestrom	Baseline
Possession	45%	53.4%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Ham-Kam favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Lillestrom in 8 · 4 too close

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/111.55 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/11▲1 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/11▲1.44 xG/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/11▲1.15 xG/match

10 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/11▲12.8 shots/match

14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/11▲12.5 shots/match

4.22 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/11▲4.45 shots/match

4.44 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/114.45 shots/match

45%Possessionseason · 9/1153.4%

4.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/115.45 corners/match

5.22 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/11▲4.64 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 2/1—

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/1110 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/11▲36%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/1164%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Ham-Kam21.9

Lillestrom78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Ham-Kam40.6

Lillestrom55.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Ham-Kam44.8

Lillestrom70.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Ham-Kam15.6

Lillestrom28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Ham-Kam78.1

Lillestrom15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 55%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Ham-Kam28.1

Lillestrom53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Ham-Kam37.5

Lillestrom42.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

0.86 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.19 xG/match

8.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲12 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match

45.6%Possession5/555.6%

4 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 10 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/101.4 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/10▲1 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals9/10▲1.34 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots9/10▲12.4 shots/match

4.22 shots/matchShots on target9/104.2 shots/match

45%Possession9/1052.7%

4.33 corners/matchCorners9/105.3 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls9/1010.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 11 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/111.55 goals/match

1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/11▲1 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals9/11▲1.44 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots9/11▲12.8 shots/match

4.22 shots/matchShots on target9/11▲4.45 shots/match

45%Possession9/1153.4%

4.33 corners/matchCorners9/115.45 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls9/1110 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61 goals/match

1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.83 goals/match

1.39 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.45 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots6/6▲14.2 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target6/65 shots/match

44.3%Possession6/651.3%

3.83 corners/matchCorners6/65.83 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls6/610.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.92 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4