PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Briskeby Arena

HamKam 2–0 Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien

HamKam

WWDWL
2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

HamKam won 2–0.

Shots
916
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
0.991.25
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ham-Kam beat Lillestrom 2–0. Recorded in this match (Ham-Kam – Lillestrom): shots 9–16, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 0.99–1.25, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ham-Kam's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ham-Kam's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lillestrom have recorded the higher season possession share.

45%PossessionHam-Kam · Lillestrom● 53.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHam-KamLillestromBaseline
Possession45%53.4%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsHamKam 9 shots, Lillestrøm SK 16 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsHamKam 8 shots, Lillestrøm SK 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG1.25 xGHamKam 0.99 xG, Lillestrøm SK 1.25 xG
  • Possession40%60%HamKam 40%, Lillestrøm SK 60%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersHamKam 4 corners, Lillestrøm SK 9 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsHamKam 12 fouls, Lillestrøm SK 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsHamKam 2 cards, Lillestrøm SK 0 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1HamKam
2Draws
2Lillestrøm SK
HamKam — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien5–0
Lillestrøm SK — HamKam · Eliteserien1–1
Lillestrøm SK — HamKam · Eliteserien3–1
HamKam — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien0–0
Lillestrøm SK — HamKam · Eliteserien3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: HamKam favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Lillestrøm SK in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

HamKam9 matchesLillestrøm SK11 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/111.55 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/11▲ 1 goal/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals9/11▲ 1.44 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots9/11▲ 12.8 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target9/11▲ 4.45 shots/match
45%Possession9/11● 53.4%
4.33 corners/matchCorners9/11● 5.45 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls9/1110 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHamKamLillestrøm SK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headHamKam — Lillestrøm SK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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