PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Åråsen

Lillestrøm SK 1–2 Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Kristiansund BK won 1–2.

Shots
1215
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
0.721.06
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Kristiansund BK beat Lillestrom 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lillestrom – Kristiansund BK): shots 12–15, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 0.72–1.06, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kristiansund BK's recent record differs from the season

weak

Kristiansund BK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lillestrom have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.7% ●PossessionLillestrom · Kristiansund BK40.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLillestromKristiansund BKBaseline
Possession52.7%40.3%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots15 shotsLillestrøm SK 12 shots, Kristiansund BK 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsLillestrøm SK 5 shots, Kristiansund BK 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.72 xG1.06 xGLillestrøm SK 0.72 xG, Kristiansund BK 1.06 xG
  • Possession67%33%Lillestrøm SK 67%, Kristiansund BK 33%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersLillestrøm SK 8 corners, Kristiansund BK 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls16 foulsLillestrøm SK 9 fouls, Kristiansund BK 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards5 cardsLillestrøm SK 3 cards, Kristiansund BK 5 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lillestrøm SK
2Draws
2Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien2–1
Lillestrøm SK — Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien2–3
Lillestrøm SK — Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien1–1
Kristiansund BK — Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien1–3
Lillestrøm SK — Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lillestrøm SK favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Kristiansund BK in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lillestrøm SK10 matchesKristiansund BK9 matches
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/91 goal/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/91.44 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/91.17 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots10/911.8 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/94.11 shots/match
52.7% ●Possession10/940.3%
5.1 corners/match ●Corners10/93.89 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls10/911.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 20 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLillestrøm SKKristiansund BK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headLillestrøm SK — Kristiansund BK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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