Eliteserien · 2026Wed, 20 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeÅråsenFull-time recap

Lillestrom

WLWLW

1–2Full-time recap

Kristiansund BK

WDDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lillestrom	Kristiansund BK
Shots	12 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.72 xG/match	1.06 xG/match▲
Possession	67%	33%
Corners	8 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	16 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Kristiansund BK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Lillestrom have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Kristiansund BK's recent record differs from the season

weak

Kristiansund BK's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lillestrom have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.7%▲PossessionLillestrom · Kristiansund BK40.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Lillestrom	Kristiansund BK	Baseline
Possession	52.7%	40.3%	47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lillestrom favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Kristiansund BK in 0 · 4 too close

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/91 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/91.44 goals/match

1.46 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 10/91.17 xG/match

1.16 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 10/91.5 xG/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/911.8 shots/match

12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/913 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/94.11 shots/match

4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/95.11 shots/match

52.7%Possessionseason · 10/940.3%

5.1 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/93.89 corners/match

4.7 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/97.11 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/911.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/911%

70%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/956%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lillestrom71.9

Kristiansund BK3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lillestrom61.4

Kristiansund BK35.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lillestrom78.1

Kristiansund BK45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lillestrom34.4

Kristiansund BK78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom15.6

Kristiansund BK28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 55%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom46.9

Kristiansund BK21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lillestrom42.2

Kristiansund BK33.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.16 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.6 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match

53.6%Possession5/543.4%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 9 matches

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/91 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/91.44 goals/match

1.46 xG/match▲Expected goals10/91.17 xG/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shots10/911.8 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/94.11 shots/match

52.7%Possession10/940.3%

5.1 corners/matchCorners10/93.89 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.1 fouls/matchFouls10/911.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 9 matches

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/91 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/91.44 goals/match

1.46 xG/match▲Expected goals10/91.17 xG/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shots10/911.8 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/94.11 shots/match

52.7%Possession10/940.3%

5.1 corners/matchCorners10/93.89 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

10.1 fouls/matchFouls10/911.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.92 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots5/511 shots/match

3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

55.8%Possession5/539.2%

5 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.12 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples10 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 20 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4