Eliteserien · 2026Wed, 20 May 2026, 18:00 UTCFull timeColor Line StadionFull-time recap

Aalesund

DLDLW

2–1Full-time recap

Brann

LDWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Aalesund	Brann
Shots	23 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.25 xG/match▲	0.96 xG/match
Possession	42%	58%
Corners	4 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	17 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Aalesund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Brann's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Aalesund have a visible home split

moderate

Aalesund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.2 shots/match	14.1 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Brann show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brann's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match▲ShotsAalesund · Brann14.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Aalesund	Brann	Baseline
Shots	14.1 shots/match	14.1 shots/match	12.1 shots/match
Shots against	15.4 shots/match	14.1 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Brann have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.4%▲PossessionAalesund · Brann58.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Aalesund	Brann	Baseline
Possession	43.4%	58.6%	47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Aalesund favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Brann in 10 · 4 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/10▲2.2 goals/match

1.89 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/10▲1.5 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/10▲1.95 xG/match

1.96 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/10▲1.53 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/1014.1 shots/match

15.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/10▲14.1 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/10▲5.4 shots/match

5.78 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/10▲4.2 shots/match

43.4%Possessionseason · 9/1058.6%

3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/107 corners/match

7.78 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/10▲4.9 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/1—

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/1011.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/10▲10%

78%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/10▲90%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Aalesund15.6

Brann90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Aalesund61.5

Brann78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Aalesund8.3

Brann50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Aalesund96.9

Brann40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Aalesund96.9

Brann65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Aalesund15.6

Brann84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Aalesund61.7

Brann75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.84 xG/match

14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/513.2 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match

41.4%Possession5/560%

3.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 10 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/10▲2.2 goals/match

1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/10▲1.5 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals9/10▲1.95 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShots9/1014.1 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target9/10▲5.4 shots/match

43.4%Possession9/1058.6%

3.67 corners/matchCorners9/107 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls9/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 10 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/10▲2.2 goals/match

1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/10▲1.5 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals9/10▲1.95 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShots9/1014.1 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target9/10▲5.4 shots/match

43.4%Possession9/1058.6%

3.67 corners/matchCorners9/107 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls9/1011.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/6▲2.67 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/6▲1.67 goals/match

1.39 xG/matchExpected goals5/6▲1.93 xG/match

17.2 shots/match▲Shots5/613.2 shots/match

5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/65.83 shots/match

47.8%Possession5/654.3%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/67.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/613.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.25 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 20 May 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4