Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 16 May 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeLerkendal StadionFull-time recap

Rosenborg

WDDLW

2–3Full-time recap

Aalesund

LDLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Rosenborg	Aalesund
Shots	11 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.96 xG/match	1.05 xG/match▲
Possession	65%	35%
Corners	10 corners/match	0 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Aalesund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Rosenborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.78 goals/match	1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Aalesund have a visible away split

weak

Aalesund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.3 shots/match	13 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Rosenborg favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Aalesund in 4 · 3 too close

0.78 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/8▲1.25 goals/match

1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/82 goals/match

1.11 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 9/81.03 xG/match

1.37 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/82.09 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/8▲13 shots/match

13.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/816 shots/match

3.22 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/8▲4.63 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/86 shots/match

51.2%Possessionseason · 9/843.6%

6.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/83.63 corners/match

5.67 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/87.88 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/812.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/80%

44%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/8▲75%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rosenborg71.9

Aalesund15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rosenborg14.6

Aalesund55.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rosenborg34.4

Aalesund6.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rosenborg9.4

Aalesund84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg21.9

Aalesund84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg78.1

Aalesund15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rosenborg35.1

Aalesund54.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.26 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.07 xG/match

13 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match

51.6%Possession5/543.6%

6.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 8 matches

0.78 goals/matchGoals scored9/8▲1.25 goals/match

1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/82 goals/match

1.11 xG/match▲Expected goals9/81.03 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots9/8▲13 shots/match

3.22 shots/matchShots on target9/8▲4.63 shots/match

51.2%Possession9/843.6%

6.56 corners/matchCorners9/83.63 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls9/812.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 8 matches

0.78 goals/matchGoals scored9/8▲1.25 goals/match

1.56 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/82 goals/match

1.11 xG/match▲Expected goals9/81.03 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots9/8▲13 shots/match

3.22 shots/matchShots on target9/8▲4.63 shots/match

51.2%Possession9/843.6%

6.56 corners/matchCorners9/83.63 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls9/812.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 4 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/41 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/41.75 goals/match

1.34 xG/match▲Expected goals5/40.89 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots5/410.3 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/43.25 shots/match

55%Possession5/438%

8.2 corners/matchCorners5/41.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls5/411.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4