Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 10 May 2026, 12:30 UTCFull timeLerkendal StadionFull-time recap

Rosenborg

LWDDL

2–0Full-time recap

Lillestrom

WDWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Rosenborg	Lillestrom
Shots	18 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.85 xG/match▲	0.41 xG/match
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	1 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Rosenborg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Rosenborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.63 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rosenborg have a visible home split

weak

Rosenborg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.5 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Rosenborg favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Lillestrom in 10 · 4 too close

0.63 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲1.63 goals/match

1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲0.75 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/8▲1.59 xG/match

1.42 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.19 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲12.8 shots/match

13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/813.1 shots/match

3.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲4.5 shots/match

5.13 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲4.13 shots/match

49.5%Possessionseason · 8/850.9%

6.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/84.63 corners/match

6.38 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/8▲5.13 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/810.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/8▲50%

38%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲63%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rosenborg53.1

Lillestrom71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rosenborg12.5

Lillestrom55.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rosenborg42.7

Lillestrom78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rosenborg21.9

Lillestrom40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg28.1

Lillestrom18.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg65.6

Lillestrom46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rosenborg32

Lillestrom43

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.39 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.39 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511.4 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

50%Possession5/549.6%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches

0.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.63 goals/match

1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.75 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲1.59 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots8/8▲12.8 shots/match

3.13 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲4.5 shots/match

49.5%Possession8/850.9%

6.13 corners/matchCorners8/84.63 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls8/810.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches

0.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.63 goals/match

1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.75 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲1.59 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots8/8▲12.8 shots/match

3.13 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲4.5 shots/match

49.5%Possession8/850.9%

6.13 corners/matchCorners8/84.63 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls8/810.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/51.2 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/5▲0.6 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.49 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShots4/513.8 shots/match

3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲5.2 shots/match

52.5%Possession4/549.6%

7.75 corners/matchCorners4/55.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.75 fouls/matchFouls4/510.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4