Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 16 May 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeÅråsenFull-time recap

Lillestrom

DWLWL

3–1Full-time recap

Sandefjord

WDLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lillestrom	Sandefjord
Shots	11 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.21 xG/match▲	1.04 xG/match
Possession	53%	47%
Corners	6 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lillestrom favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Sandefjord in 1 · 8 too close

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/90.89 goals/match

0.78 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/91.11 goals/match

1.54 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 9/91.28 xG/match

1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/91.32 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲14.8 shots/match

12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/913 shots/match

4.44 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/94.67 shots/match

3.89 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/94 shots/match

51.1%Possessionseason · 9/953.1%

4.78 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/95.89 corners/match

4.89 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/97.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/913.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

44%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/944%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/967%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lillestrom62.5

Sandefjord78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lillestrom61.4

Sandefjord59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lillestrom82.3

Sandefjord70.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lillestrom40.6

Sandefjord78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom15.6

Sandefjord90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom46.9

Sandefjord65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lillestrom42.2

Sandefjord76.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

1.36 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.2 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.4 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

52.2%Possession5/554.6%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match

0.78 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.11 goals/match

1.54 xG/match▲Expected goals9/91.28 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShots9/9▲14.8 shots/match

4.44 shots/matchShots on target9/94.67 shots/match

51.1%Possession9/953.1%

4.78 corners/matchCorners9/95.89 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls9/913.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match

0.78 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.11 goals/match

1.54 xG/match▲Expected goals9/91.28 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShots9/9▲14.8 shots/match

4.44 shots/matchShots on target9/94.67 shots/match

51.1%Possession9/953.1%

4.78 corners/matchCorners9/95.89 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls9/913.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/51 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/51.6 goals/match

1.62 xG/match▲Expected goals4/51.24 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots4/5▲13.4 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/53.6 shots/match

53%Possession4/549%

4.25 corners/matchCorners4/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.75 fouls/matchFouls4/511.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.96 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4