PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Aker Stadion

Molde FK 1–0 Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Molde FK won 1–0.

Shots
811
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.10.94
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Molde beat Kristiansund BK 1–0. Recorded in this match (Molde – Kristiansund BK): shots 8–11, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.1–0.94, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Molde have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.3% ●PossessionMolde · Kristiansund BK41.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMoldeKristiansund BKBaseline
Possession58.3%41.3%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots11 shotsMolde FK 8 shots, Kristiansund BK 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsMolde FK 4 shots, Kristiansund BK 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG0.94 xGMolde FK 1.1 xG, Kristiansund BK 0.94 xG
  • Possession64%36%Molde FK 64%, Kristiansund BK 36%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersMolde FK 3 corners, Kristiansund BK 6 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls15 foulsMolde FK 3 fouls, Kristiansund BK 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsMolde FK 1 card, Kristiansund BK 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Molde FK
0Draws
2Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK — Molde FK · Eliteserien2–1
Molde FK — Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien0–1
Kristiansund BK — Molde FK · Eliteserien0–4
Molde FK — Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien2–0
Kristiansund BK — Molde FK · Eliteserien2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Molde FK favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Kristiansund BK in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Molde FK9 matchesKristiansund BK8 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/80.88 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/81.5 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/81.18 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots9/811.4 shots/match
4.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/83.88 shots/match
58.3% ●Possession9/841.3%
4.22 corners/match ●Corners9/84 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls9/810.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMolde FKKristiansund BK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headMolde FK — Kristiansund BK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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