Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 16 May 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeAker StadionFull-time recap

Molde

WDWWL

1–0Full-time recap

Kristiansund BK

LWDDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Molde	Kristiansund BK
Shots	8 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.1 xG/match▲	0.94 xG/match
Possession	64%	36%
Corners	3 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	3 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Molde have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Molde have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.3%▲PossessionMolde · Kristiansund BK41.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.1 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Molde	Kristiansund BK	Baseline
Possession	58.3%	41.3%	47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Molde favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Kristiansund BK in 0 · 5 too close

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/80.88 goals/match

1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/81.5 goals/match

1.5 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 9/81.18 xG/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/81.6 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/811.4 shots/match

13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/813.1 shots/match

4.11 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/83.88 shots/match

4.78 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/85.13 shots/match

58.3%Possessionseason · 9/841.3%

4.22 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/84 corners/match

5.11 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/87 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 2/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/810.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/813%

78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/850%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Molde84.4

Kristiansund BK3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Molde52.1

Kristiansund BK30.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Molde51

Kristiansund BK37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Molde3.1

Kristiansund BK65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Molde65.6

Kristiansund BK28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Molde28.1

Kristiansund BK21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Molde44.5

Kristiansund BK31.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match

1.57 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.18 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲12 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match

55.2%Possession5/545.6%

3.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 8 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/80.88 goals/match

1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/81.5 goals/match

1.5 xG/match▲Expected goals9/81.18 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots9/811.4 shots/match

4.11 shots/match▲Shots on target9/83.88 shots/match

58.3%Possession9/841.3%

4.22 corners/matchCorners9/84 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls9/810.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 8 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/80.88 goals/match

1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/81.5 goals/match

1.5 xG/match▲Expected goals9/81.18 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots9/811.4 shots/match

4.11 shots/match▲Shots on target9/83.88 shots/match

58.3%Possession9/841.3%

4.22 corners/matchCorners9/84 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls9/810.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 4 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/40.25 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/41.5 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goals5/40.89 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots5/410 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/42.5 shots/match

60.8%Possession5/440.8%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/44.5 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/411.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.96 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4