Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 10 May 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeRomssa ArenaFull-time recap

Tromso

DWWLD

2–0Full-time recap

Molde

LWDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tromso	Molde
Shots	17 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.71 xG/match▲	0.71 xG/match
Possession	44%	56%
Corners	5 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Molde's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Molde's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Molde's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Molde's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.2 goals/match	1.75 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Molde have a visible away split

weak

Molde's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.25 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.25 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Molde show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Molde's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match▲ShotsTromso · Molde11.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Tromso	Molde	Baseline
Shots	14.2 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	9.3 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tromso favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Molde in 0 · 4 too close

1.7 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/81.75 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/81.25 goals/match

1.85 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 10/81.55 xG/match

1.05 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 10/81.5 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/811.8 shots/match

9.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 10/813.5 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/84.13 shots/match

2.8 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/85.13 shots/match

49.3%Possessionseason · 10/857.6%

6.3 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/84.38 corners/match

3.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/85 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/2—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/812.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

60%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/825%

80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/875%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tromso46.9

Molde90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tromso71.9

Molde54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tromso90.6

Molde47.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tromso78.1

Molde3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tromso59.4

Molde78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tromso78.1

Molde37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tromso71.9

Molde50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.7 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511.4 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match

47.2%Possession5/554.2%

5.2 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 8 matches

1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/81.75 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/81.25 goals/match

1.85 xG/match▲Expected goals10/81.55 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots10/811.8 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/84.13 shots/match

49.3%Possession10/857.6%

6.3 corners/matchCorners10/84.38 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls10/812.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 8 matches

1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/81.75 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/81.25 goals/match

1.85 xG/match▲Expected goals10/81.55 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots10/811.8 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/84.13 shots/match

49.3%Possession10/857.6%

6.3 corners/matchCorners10/84.38 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls10/812.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 4 matches

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/40.75 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/41.75 goals/match

2.14 xG/match▲Expected goals7/41.18 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots7/49.25 shots/match

5.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/43.25 shots/match

51.1%Possession7/455.3%

7 corners/matchCorners7/45 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/412.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.92 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples10 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4