Eliteserien · 2026Mon, 4 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeAspmyra StadionFull-time recap

Bodo/Glimt

LDWWW

0–1Full-time recap

Molde

LLWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bodo/Glimt	Molde
Shots	25 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.72 xG/match▲	0.99 xG/match
Possession	60%	40%
Corners	11 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bodo/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bodo/Glimt. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Bodo/Glimt have a visible home split

weak

Bodo/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

25.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season17.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	25.3 shots/match	17.4 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bodo/Glimt.

4 days▲Rest daysBodo/Glimt · Molde8.19 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Bodo/Glimt	Molde	Baseline
Rest days	4 days	8.19 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bodo/Glimt's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bodo/Glimt's last-five shots average is above their season average.

20.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season17.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	20.4 shots/match	17.4 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bodo/Glimt favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Molde in 1 · 4 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/72 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/71.14 goals/match

2.23 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/71.67 xG/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/71.47 xG/match

17.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/712 shots/match

10.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/713 shots/match

6.43 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/74.57 shots/match

4.71 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/75.14 shots/match

65.7%Possessionseason · 7/757.9%

8.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/74.43 corners/match

2.57 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/2—

8.29 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/713.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

57%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/729%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/7▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bodo/Glimt96.9

Molde90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bodo/Glimt91.7

Molde52.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bodo/Glimt69.8

Molde51

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bodo/Glimt59.4

Molde3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bodo/Glimt3.1

Molde90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bodo/Glimt96.9

Molde28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bodo/Glimt73.5

Molde48.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match

0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/50.8 goals/match

2.56 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.76 xG/match

20.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match

7.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

63.2%Possession5/555.2%

9 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored7/72 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.14 goals/match

2.23 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.67 xG/match

17.4 shots/match▲Shots7/712 shots/match

6.43 shots/match▲Shots on target7/74.57 shots/match

65.7%Possession7/757.9%

8.29 corners/matchCorners7/74.43 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

8.29 fouls/matchFouls7/713.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored7/72 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.14 goals/match

2.23 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.67 xG/match

17.4 shots/match▲Shots7/712 shots/match

6.43 shots/match▲Shots on target7/74.57 shots/match

65.7%Possession7/757.9%

8.29 corners/matchCorners7/74.43 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

8.29 fouls/matchFouls7/713.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match

0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match

3.21 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.34 xG/match

25.3 shots/match▲Shots3/39 shots/match

9.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match

64.7%Possession3/355%

11.7 corners/matchCorners3/35.33 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

8.33 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.19 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4