Eliteserien · 2026Aspmyra Stadion

Bodø/Glimt 0–1 Molde FK · Eliteserien

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Molde FK won 0–1.

Shots
254
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
2.720.99
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Molde beat Bodo/Glimt 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bodo/Glimt – Molde): shots 25–4, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 2.72–0.99, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bodo/Glimt have a visible home split

weak

Bodo/Glimt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

25.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season17.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots25.3 shots/match17.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bodo/Glimt.

4 days ▲Rest daysBodo/Glimt · Molde8.19 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBodo/GlimtMoldeBaseline
Rest days4 days8.19 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bodo/Glimt's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bodo/Glimt's last-five shots average is above their season average.

20.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season17.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots20.4 shots/match17.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots4 shotsBodø/Glimt 25 shots, Molde FK 4 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsBodø/Glimt 8 shots, Molde FK 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.72 xG0.99 xGBodø/Glimt 2.72 xG, Molde FK 0.99 xG
  • Possession60%40%Bodø/Glimt 60%, Molde FK 40%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerBodø/Glimt 11 corners, Molde FK 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsBodø/Glimt 10 fouls, Molde FK 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsBodø/Glimt 0 cards, Molde FK 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bodø/Glimt
3Draws
0Molde FK
Bodø/Glimt — Molde FK · Eliteserien4–1
Molde FK — Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien2–2
Molde FK — Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien3–3
Bodø/Glimt — Molde FK · Eliteserien1–1
Molde FK — Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bodø/Glimt favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Molde FK in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bodø/Glimt7 matchesMolde FK7 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored7/72 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.14 goals/match
2.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.67 xG/match
17.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/712 shots/match
6.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74.57 shots/match
65.7% ●Possession7/757.9%
8.29 corners/match ●Corners7/74.43 corners/match
8.29 fouls/matchFouls7/713.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

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