Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 3 May 2026, 17:15 UTCFull timeIntility ArenaFull-time recap

Valerenga

WLDLL

2–2Full-time recap

KFUM Oslo

LLDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Valerenga	KFUM Oslo
Shots	17 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.2 xG/match	1.32 xG/match▲
Possession	49%	51%
Corners	11 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	7 fouls/match
Yellow cards	6 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valerenga's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Valerenga's recent record differs from the season

weak

Valerenga's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Valerenga favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · KFUM Oslo in 6 · 6 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/7▲1.29 goals/match

1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/71.86 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/7▲1.24 xG/match

1.92 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/7▲1.44 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/712.7 shots/match

16 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/7▲12 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/74.71 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/74.71 shots/match

44.6%Possessionseason · 7/752.1%

7.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/74 corners/match

6.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/7▲4.71 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/2—

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/711.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/729%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/7▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valerenga15.6

KFUM Oslo71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valerenga56.2

KFUM Oslo45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valerenga35.4

KFUM Oslo46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valerenga90.6

KFUM Oslo34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valerenga34.4

KFUM Oslo46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 57%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valerenga90.6

KFUM Oslo15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valerenga65.6

KFUM Oslo37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲2 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.22 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots5/512.2 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match

46.2%Possession5/548%

8.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.29 goals/match

1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.24 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots7/712.7 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target7/74.71 shots/match

44.6%Possession7/752.1%

7.71 corners/matchCorners7/74 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls7/711.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.29 goals/match

1.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.24 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots7/712.7 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target7/74.71 shots/match

44.6%Possession7/752.1%

7.71 corners/matchCorners7/74 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls7/711.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches

0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.25 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.75 goals/match

1.01 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.4 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots4/413.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.5 shots/match

45.5%Possession4/452.8%

10.3 corners/matchCorners4/43.5 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

9.75 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.09 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4