Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 3 May 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeJotun ArenaFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSandefjordAalesund
Shots27 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals2.62 xG/match0.93 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners8 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sandefjord's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sandefjord's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Sandefjord's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sandefjord's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sandefjord show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sandefjord's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.9 shots/matchShotsSandefjord · Aalesund13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSandefjordAalesundBaseline
Shots16.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match16.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Aalesund have a visible away split

weak

Aalesund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sandefjord favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Aalesund in 3 · 3 too close

0.71 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/71 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/72 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.03 xG/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/72.25 xG/match
16.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/713.6 shots/match
13.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/716.7 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/74.71 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/76.29 shots/match
53.6%Possessionseason · 7/744.9%
6.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/74.14 corners/match
8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/77.57 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/713 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
43%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/70%
57%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sandefjord78.1
Aalesund21.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sandefjord60.4
Aalesund45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sandefjord65.6
Aalesund9.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sandefjord84.4
Aalesund78.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sandefjord75
Aalesund65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sandefjord65.6
Aalesund21.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sandefjord77.3
Aalesund48.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.06 xG/match
17 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
50.6%Possession5/546.4%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/71 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed7/72 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.03 xG/match
16.9 shots/matchShots7/713.6 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target7/74.71 shots/match
53.6%Possession7/744.9%
6.29 corners/matchCorners7/74.14 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.1 fouls/matchFouls7/713 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/71 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed7/72 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.03 xG/match
16.9 shots/matchShots7/713.6 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target7/74.71 shots/match
53.6%Possession7/744.9%
6.29 corners/matchCorners7/74.14 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.1 fouls/matchFouls7/713 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.83 xG/match
20 shots/matchShots3/310.7 shots/match
6.33 shots/matchShots on target3/33 shots/match
59%Possession3/339%
8 corners/matchCorners3/31.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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